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Tue 12 Jun 2007, 13:34 WLL - Wellco - Trading Update And Cautionary Annou
WLL
 WLL                                                                             
WLL - Wellco - Trading Update And Cautionary Announcement                       
WELLCO HEALTH LIMITED                                                           
(Registration No: 2005/005805/06                                                
JSE code: WLL                                                                   
ISIN: ZAE000071841                                                              
("Wellco" or "the Company")                                                     
TRADING UPDATE AND CAUTIONARY ANNOUNCEMENT                                      
TRADING UPDATE                                                                  
Wellco would like to advise shareholders that the results in relation to        
earnings and headline earnings for the year ended 28 February 2007 are          
anticipated to be lower than the prior year ended 28 February 2006.             
At this time the consolidated earnings and headline earnings are expected       
to reflect a loss of between R8.14 cents per share and and R9.56 cents per      
share for the financial year ended 28 February 2007.  Shareholders are          
advised that the information in this trading statement has not been             
reviewed or reported on by Wellco`s auditors.  Wellco will update               
shareholders once more indicative information is available.                     
Earnings and headline earnings will be lower for the following reasons:         
-    The company has incurred a significant loss of approximately R2m in        
its trade support of a specific retail distribution channel. This loss      
    is a function of unfavourable trading terms and fixed co-operative          
    advertising commitments that are prescribed by this specific retailer       
    before distribution of our products in their stores. These terms had        
been inherited from the purchased subsidiary in June 2004. The pre          
    trading year co-operative advertising commitments represented               
    approximately 40% of the total anticipated advertising budget of            
    R4.5m.                                                                      
-    The integration and related restructuring of the brand Nutrimax,           
    acquired in April 2005, has placed immense pressure on the company          
    from a cash flow and a resource perspective. The product range had to       
    be repackaged and reformulated, resulting in major returns of R0.5m of      
non - compliant Medical Control Council stock from the trade. In            
    addition the time taken to complete the new repackaging and                 
    reformulation meant that the Female range was only launched in              
    September (5 months after acquisition) and the Nutritional Bar range        
was only launched in May 2007 (one year after acquisition and in the        
    new financial year).                                                        
-    The significant investment in JSE listing related structures has meant     
    a `top` heavy executive team and related non-added value costs. These       
costs attributed to the management of the company`s listing status          
    approximated R0.8m.                                                         
-    The launch of the KGB export markets has not met the initial timelines     
    presented by the licensees in the United Kingdom, Brazil and the            
United States / Canada. This has had an unfavourable effect on export       
    revenues.                                                                   
-    There have been significant write-offs of the packaging stock relating     
    to the old Herbology and Superstars ranges. The new Herbology range is      
now being distributed in the company`s retail channels.                     
-    With a desire to reduce the fixed cost component attached to sales         
    related support costs, Wellco outsourced the logistics, warehousing         
    and distribution to a third party supplier. At approximately 7% of net      
sales, the price of this variable cost strategy has been excessively        
    high in the context of the sales base.                                      
Wellco has experienced significant pressure on its cash resources due to:       
-    A certain major retailer, who accounts for 35% - 40% of the company`s      
domestic sales revenue, pushing payment terms beyond 120 days. When         
    the average supplier requires 30 days payment this places the company       
    in a credit squeeze and has accounted for the necessity of the company      
    to place shares during the financial year and extend credit                 
facilities.                                                                 
-    The high fixed cost component attached to the head count and human         
    resource element of the overhead structure allows the company very          
    little space to manage its tight cash flow environment.                     
Further to our announcement of the 22 February 2007, whereby Wellco had         
entered into a supply agreement worth USD4 million and would require the        
supply of a licensed malaria prevention product to a European humanitarian      
and medical foundation, we confirm that one of the conditions precedent,        
being the payment by the purchaser of a deposit for 50% of the full             
purchase price, has not been honoured.                                          
Despite requests for clarification Wellco has received no confirmation of a     
payment date and Wellco has thus terminated the agreement forthwith. Should     
any payment be received we will inform shareholders. Significant cost had       
been incurred in procuring this contract over the last 9 months.                
Due to the difficult trading circumstances that Wellco finds itself in,         
being adverse profitability and tight cash flow constraints, the board of       
directors has initiated a turnaround programme that will restore corporate      
value and seek sustainable profitability. The main measures supporting this     
turnaround strategy include:                                                    
-    Retrenchment of approximately two thirds of the staff complement.          
-    Relocation to a new warehouse and distribution site and bringing this      
    function in house, with a potential saving from 7% to approximately 3%      
    of net sales.                                                               
-    Reducing the executive board members of the subsidiary and the holding     
company. This will see the resignation of Andile Khumalo and Terence        
    Wynne.                                                                      
-    A reduction of the fixed overhead costs by approximately 50% per           
    month.                                                                      
-    Seeking an outsourced sales representation function for the Wellco         
    products on an agency model, where costs are variable based on net          
    sales achieved.                                                             
-    Review of all trading channels and urgent negotiation of trading           
terms.                                                                      
-    Termination of all thirty party product development (non proprietary       
    retail brands such as Woolworths) and withdrawal from joint venture         
    product development projects.                                               
-    Refinancing of the overdraft facility into a term loan and the             
    adoption of a debtor and invoice based financing model.                     
This turnaround programme requires the immediate injection of cash to cover     
current working capital requirements and fund the approximate R3m - R4m         
credit gap that the company is experiencing. The board is considering           
certain mezzanine debt structures and a potential share placement. Other        
capital structuring and value protection initiatives are also being             
considered, including the potential sale of certain brands.                     
The board will advise the shareholders once these initiatives are               
finalised.                                                                      
CAUTIONERY                                                                      
Shareholders are advised that the company has entered into negotiations,        
which if successfully concluded may have a material effect on the price of      
the company`s securities.                                                       
Accordingly, shareholders are advised to exercise caution when dealing in       
the company`s securities until a full announcement is made.                     
Johannesburg                                                                    
12 June 2007                                                                    
Designated Advisor                                                              
River Group                                                                     
Date: 12/06/2007 13:34:23 Produced by the JSE SENS Department.
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