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Mon 20 Oct 2008, 9:14 MND / MNP - Mondi - Announcement
MND   MNP
MND   MNP                                                                       
MND / MNP - Mondi - Announcement                                                
Mondi Limited                                                                   
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)                                  
(Registration number: 1967/013038/06)                                           
JSE share code: MND & ISIN: ZAE000097051                                        
Mondi plc                                                                       
(Incorporated in England and Wales)                                             
(Registration number: 6209386)                                                  
JSE share code: MNP & ISIN: GB00B1CRLC47                                        
LSE share code: MNDI                                                            
As part of the dual listed company structure, Mondi Limited and Mondi plc       
(together `Mondi Group`) notify both the JSE Limited and the London Stock       
Exchange of matters required to be disclosed under the JSE listings             
requirements and/or the Disclosure and Transparency and Listing Rules of the    
United Kingdom Listing Authority.                                               
Mondi Group: Interim Management Statement 20 October 2008                       
This statement provides an update on the Group`s progress since the half-       
yearly report for the six months ended 30 June 2008, based on management        
accounts up to end September and current October trading and precedes the       
announcement on 4 March 2009 of the full year results for the year ending 31    
December 2008.                                                                  
Group Overview                                                                  
Whilst Mondi is exposed to a broad range of end markets and geographies, the    
recent worsening of the global economic outlook is now having an adverse        
impact on our business. In particular, during October we have seen a downturn   
in trading within the Europe & International Division. As such, we have         
brought forward the release of this trading update, originally planned for 24   
October 2008.                                                                   
The downturn in Europe & International Division trading will mean that Group    
underlying operating profit for the year is likely to be 10% to 15% below last  
year. This is despite an improvement in South Africa Division trading.          
For the nine months to the end of September, underlying operating profit is 2%  
ahead of prior year. However, for the three months to end September, the        
Group`s underlying operating profit has come in 10% below the comparable        
period for the prior year, with the slowdown in Europe as a result of the       
significantly worsened economic backdrop only partially offset by a much        
improved performance from the South Africa Division. Within Europe &            
International Division we have not seen the usual post summer seasonal pick up  
in demand and trading in September was weak. Estimates for October indicate a   
continuation of this trend, and as a consequence we are taking significant      
market related downtime in a number of our European operations. In contrast,    
the South Africa Division has been successful in implementing price increases   
and is also enjoying an improved operating performance.                         
Divisional Overview                                                             
Europe & International                                                          
The Bags & Specialities Business unit has benefited from higher sack kraft      
paper and converted bag prices versus the comparable period (+10%), however     
volumes have been much softer than anticipated as demand, particularly from     
the construction industry, has weakened. It would appear that this slowdown     
has been exacerbated by an element of destocking as the supply chain adjusts    
to the weaker economic outlook. In response, the business is taking             
significant market related downtime to balance inventories. The Specialities    
Business unit has been impacted by higher input costs with selling prices       
lagging and as a result trading is marginally below the comparable period.      
In the Uncoated Fine Paper Business unit, whilst selling prices are still up    
against the comparable period and have held since 30 June 2008, volumes have    
been impacted by the weaker trading environment and closure of Hungary, down    
7% on the prior year.  However, overall results are up as the Business unit     
continues to benefit from the restructuring actions announced at the end of     
2007.                                                                           
In the Corrugated Business unit, trading remains challenging, particularly in   
recycled containerboard with testliner prices having fallen by around 9% since  
the half year, although there is some evidence of prices stabilising as         
significant industry capacity is loss making at these levels. Kraftliner        
prices are also coming under pressure, down 2% since the half year, while       
certain input costs have continued to rise, notably for chemicals and energy.   
The downstream corrugated activities have experienced some margin expansion as  
box prices have held up while paper prices decline, although box prices have    
recently come under pressure. The Turkish acquisition continues to              
underperform against expectation.                                               
South Africa Division                                                           
The South Africa Division has seen an improvement in results benefiting from    
both product mix changes (increased pulp sales) and price increases. The        
domestic price increases announced in August were successfully implemented,     
while export sales benefited from a weaker rand, 18% down versus the euro on    
the comparable period, and dollar denominated price increases of 5% achieved    
in African markets.                                                             
A significant breakthrough was achieved in the settlement of land claims in     
South Africa, with the recent announcement of the signing of a land             
restitution settlement whereby over 4000 hectares of Mondi forestry land will   
be transferred to two local communities under a sale and leaseback agreement.   
In terms of the agreement Mondi retains ownership of the forests, which         
ensures security of timber supply to Mondi`s operations, while meeting the      
needs of the land restitution process in South Africa. It is anticipated that   
this settlement will provide a framework for settling future forestry land      
claims with Mondi.                                                              
Mondi Packaging South Africa (MPSA)                                             
Year to date, underlying operating profit in local currency is marginally down  
on the comparable period. Whilst pricing has improved recently (circa 15-20%    
price increases achieved from October), it has lagged input cost pressures,     
particularly from recycled fibre. The results are also impacted on translation  
into euros at a significantly weaker rand rate.                                 
Agreement has been reached to refinance MPSA through a ZAR1bn cash injection    
from Mondi Ltd which allows for the pay down of expensive external debt.  The   
funds will be provided by way of loans and equity. As a result of the           
refinancing Mondi`s shareholding in the business will increase from 55% to      
70%.                                                                            
Merchant and Newsprint                                                          
Year to date, Europapier continues to trade above the comparable period         
benefiting from higher prices and volumes. However, our joint venture,          
Aylesford Newsprint (which accounted for just under half the division`s 2007    
result), continues to be heavily impacted by low selling prices and rising      
energy and recycled fibre input costs and is currently loss making. Recently    
announced newsprint capacity closures should however support UK newsprint       
price improvements as the industry enters its annual price negotiations for     
2009. Shanduka Newsprint underlying operating profit is down on the comparable  
period impacted by cost pressures and the weaker rand rate on translation into  
euros.                                                                          
Input Costs and Currency                                                        
Cost pressures versus the comparable period continue as was noted in the half-  
yearly report, most significantly chemicals and energy, although there has      
been some easing of recovered fibre costs. Similarly, while the weaker rand     
supports margin improvement in export sales from our South Africa Division,     
the strength of our major emerging European production currencies continues to  
negatively impact on our cost base, albeit some recent weakness in these        
currencies should help alleviate this pressure.                                 
The recent US dollar strength should ease import flows into Europe, our key     
sales geography, improving the supply side dynamics, although it is currently   
unclear to what extent this will compensate for the near term demand side       
weakness.                                                                       
Restructuring                                                                   
In response to the worsening economic and industry outlook, Mondi is            
evaluating the closure of certain higher cost operations.  We have announced    
the planned closure of the Holcombe recycled containerboard mill in the UK      
(capacity 110,000tpa) and the Zaragoza bag converting plant in Spain since the  
half year. The total cost of these closures is circa Euro12m and will be taken  
as an operating special item in the second half accounts.                       
Major Projects and Capital Expenditure                                          
Progress continues to be made on the two major strategic projects in Russia     
(Euro525 million mill modernisation and expansion) and Poland (Euro305 million  
lightweight containerboard expansion). Both projects remain on track and        
within budget. The subsidy package around the related Euro45 million            
investment in the new box plant and associated infrastructure in Poland has     
been agreed and the project is in progress.                                     
Given the well invested nature of our asset base following completion of these  
major strategic projects, coupled with the more challenging trading             
environment we now face, we will be reviewing our capital expenditure plans     
with a view to limiting future capital expenditure (excluding these major       
strategic projects) to well below depreciation.                                 
Borrowings and Finance Charges                                                  
Group borrowings, as expected, have increased since the end of June as capital  
expenditure increases on the two major strategic expansion projects in Russia   
and Poland, albeit this has been partially offset by a reduction in the         
working capital position. As at the end of September, net debt stood at circa   
Euro1.7bn, an increase of Euro70m on the end June position. The Group still     
has just under Euro1.1bn of undrawn committed debt facilities, Euro0.7bn of     
which is available under a Euro1.55bn facility expiring on 22 June 2012. The    
average maturity of the Group`s committed debt facilities at the end of         
September was 3.6 years.                                                        
Summary                                                                         
The recent downturn in Europe & International Division trading as a result of   
weakening macro-economic conditions will mean that Group underlying operating   
profit for the year is likely to be 10% to 15% below last year. This is         
despite the improvement in South Africa Division trading.                       
We will continue to proactively engage in restructuring actions where           
appropriate and as required by market conditions. Similarly, our capital        
expenditure programmes will be tailored to the more challenging trading         
environment which we now face.                                                  
Mondi`s financial strength, proactive response to ongoing changes to market     
conditions, and strategic positioning leave it well positioned to weather the   
current economic turbulence and take whatever actions are necessary to improve  
its performance.                                                                
End                                                                             
Contact details:                                                                
Mondi Group                                                                     
David Hathorn        +27 11 9945418                                             
Paul Hollingworth    +44 1932 826326                                            
Lisa Attenborough    +44 1932 826380 / +44 7872 672669                          
Financial Dynamics                                                              
Richard Mountain     +44 20 7269 7186 / +44 20 7909 684 466                     
Louise Brugman       +27 11 214 2415 / +27 83 504 1186                          
A conference call will take place on 20 October 2008 at 09:00am (UK time) /     
10:00am (SA time).  The dial-in numbers are: +44 (0) 207 107 0611 / + 27 (0)    
11 535 3600.                                                                    
A replay service will be available until 25 October 2008 for anyone not able    
to join the call. The dial-in number is: + 27 (0) 11 305 2030 and the code is   
120101#.                                                                        
Editors` notes:                                                                 
Mondi is an international paper and packaging group and in 2007 had revenues    
of Euro6.3 billion. Its key operations and interests are in western Europe,     
emerging Europe, Russia and South Africa.                                       
The Group is principally involved in the manufacture of packaging paper and     
converted packaging products; uncoated fine paper; and speciality products and  
processes, including coating, release liner and consumer flexibles.             
Mondi is fully integrated across the paper and packaging process, from the      
growing of wood and manufacture of pulp and paper (including recycled paper)    
to the converting of packaging papers into corrugated packaging and industrial  
bags.                                                                           
Mondi has production operations across 35 countries and had an average of       
35,000 employees in 2007.                                                       
20 October 2008                                                                 
Sponsor                                                                         
UBS South Africa (Pty) Ltd                                                      
Date: 20/10/2008 09:00:10 Produced by the JSE SENS Department.                  
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