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Fri 31 Oct 2008, 12:25 MTL - Mercantile - Trading Statement And Moody`s Rating
MTL
MTL                                                                             
MTL - Mercantile - Trading Statement And Moody`s Rating                         
Mercantile Bank Holdings Limited                                                
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)                                  
(Registration number 1989/000164/06)                                            
Share code: MTL      ISIN: ZAE000064721                                         
("Mercantile" or "the company")                                                 
TRADING STATEMENT AND MOODY`S RATING                                            
This trading statement is issued in compliance with paragraph 3.4(b) of the     
Listings Requirements of the JSE Limited.                                       
The earnings and headline earnings for the year ended 31 December 2008 are      
expected to improve by 130% to 150% compared to the earnings and headline       
earnings per share reported for the year ended 31 December 2007. This           
improvement is largely due to the ongoing growth in core business and the       
raising of a deferred taxation asset at year end by the main subsidiary of the  
Group, Mercantile Bank Limited (`the Bank") which will result in a credit to the
income statement of approximately R125 million to R145 million. Excluding the   
impact of recognising the deferred taxation, the earnings and headline earnings 
for the year ended 31 December 2008 are expected to improve by 45% to 65%       
compared to the earnings and headline earnings per share reported for the year  
ended 31 December 2007.                                                         
An update on the replacement of the core retail banking systems and             
enhancement/upgrade of current systems architecture was included in the         
announcement of our 30 June 2008 interim results on SENS on 24 July 2008. As    
stated in that announcement, the overall spend on the project was expected to   
increase from the estimated cost of R149 million, due to additional work that   
would be undertaken in changes to processes (mapping still underway), increased 
scope and/or functionality sought, a consequential increase in resources        
required and any additional unforeseen impact of integration of systems as well 
as currency fluctuations. Greater certainty around these costs will emerge over 
the next months as the process-mapping phase of the project is concluded and    
details of the anticipated increased costs will be reported on with the release 
of our 31 December 2008 results.                                                
Moody`s Investor Service completed their annual review of the Bank and have     
reaffirmed their national scale issuer ratings in August 2008 as follows:       
Short term          P-1.za                                                      
Long term           A2.za                                                       
Outlook             Stable                                                      
On 27 August 2008, Standard & Poor`s raised the long term rating of the         
Company`s parent, Caixa Geral de Depositos ("CGD"), from A+ to AA-, and its     
short term rating from A-1 to A-1+. After this revision by Standard & Poor`s the
ratings awarded to CGD by the three international rating agencies are as        
follows:                                                                        
                  Short term     Long term    Date                              
Fitch Ratings    F1+            AA-          September                         
                                              2007                              
 Moody`s          Prime -1       Aa1          July 2008                         
 Standard &       A-1+           AA-          August 2008                       
Poor`s                                                                         
 Outlook                                      Stable                            
The financial information on which this trading statement is based has not been 
reviewed or reported on by the company`s auditors.                              
The results for the year ending 31 December 2008 are expected to be published   
towards the end of February 2009.                                               
Johannesburg                                                                    
31 October 2008                                                                 
Sponsor: Bridge Capital Advisors (Pty) Limited                                  
Date: 31/10/2008 12:25:14 Produced by the JSE SENS Department.                  
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