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Mon 2 Feb 2009, 9:00 SAP - Sappi limited - Results for the first quarter ended 28 December 2008
SAP
SAVVI                                                                           
SAP - Sappi limited - Results for the first quarter ended 28 December 2008      
Sappi limited                                                                   
(Registration number 1936/008963/06)                                            
Issuer Code: SAVVI                                                              
JSE Code: SAP                                                                   
ISIN: ZAE000006284                                                              
Results for the first quarter ended 28 December 2008                            
Financial summary                                                               
- European acquisition completed on 31 December (post quarter end)              
- Declining global demand leads to weak operating profit                        
- Significant production curtailment in December                                
- Coated paper prices increased in Europe;                                      
under pressure elsewhere                                                        
- Pulp prices declined more than US$200 per ton                                 
- Basic EPS 6 US cents (favourably impacted by special items)                   
Quarter ended                  
                                       Dec 2008     Dec 2007     Sept 2008      
Key figures: (US$ million)                                                      
Sales                                      1,187        1,377         1,519     
Operating profit                              57           91            25     
Special items - (gains) losses *            (32)            1            64     
Operating profit excluding special items      25           92            89     
EBITDA excluding special items ***           106          188           180     
Basic EPS (US cents) ****                      6           12           (9)     
Net debt ** including rights offer cash    1,965        2,495         2,405     
Net debt ** excluding rights offer cash    2,497        2,495         2,405     
Key ratios: (%)                                                                 
Operating profit to sales                    4.8          6.6           1.6     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items to sales                       2.1          6.7           5.9     
Operating profit excluding special items to                                     
Capital Employed (ROCE) **                   2.6          8.8           8.5     
EBITDA excluding special items to sales      8.9         13.7          11.8     
Return on average equity (ROE) **            5.3          9.3         (7.8)     
Net debt to total capitalisation **                                             
including rights offer cash                 51.3         58.3          60.0     
Net debt to total capitalisation **                                             
excluding rights offer cash                 57.3         58.3          60.0     
* Refer to details on special items.                                            
** Refer to Supplemental Information for the definition of the                  
term.                                                                           
*** Refer to Supplemental Information for the reconciliation of                 
EBITDA excluding special items to profit for the period.                        
**** Comparative figures have been revised in accordance with IAS 33 to reflect 
the impact of the rights offer.                                                 
The table above has not been audited or reviewed.                               
Commentary                                                                      
Sales volumes declined 8% in the quarter compared to a year earlier as a result 
of the global market downturn. Prices for coated paper increased relative to    
the prior quarter and a year earlier in Europe but were under pressure in the   
USA and many other markets. Pulp prices, including prices for chemical          
cellulose, fell sharply and by the end of the quarter NBSK prices were more     
than US$200 per ton lower than at the end of the previous quarter.              
Demand fell off sharply as the quarter progressed, resulting in lower sales in  
all our businesses, particularly Saiccor. We took extensive production          
curtailment in December to match output to demand in addition to major planned  
maintenance outages during the quarter.                                         
Although the prices of energy, wood and chemicals declined, the impact was      
delayed as we worked through higher cost inventories. Reduced production levels 
and stopping and starting our mills resulted in less efficient raw material     
usage. Input costs therefore remained at a high level.                          
Operating profit for the quarter was US$57 million compared to US$91 million a  
year earlier and US $25 million in the prior quarter. Special items for the     
quarter of US$32 million comprised favourable plantation price fair value       
adjustments which resulted from lower costs of harvesting and delivering to     
market, as energy costs fell, and higher wood prices. This compared with        
favourable special items of US$1 million a year ago and unfavourable special    
items of US$64 million in the prior quarter. Operating profit excluding special 
items was US$25 million for the quarter compared to US$92 million a year ago    
and US$89 million in the prior quarter.                                         
Net finance costs for the quarter were US$21 million, US$7 million lower than a 
year ago as a result of lower interest rates, exchange gains and interest       
earned on the cash proceeds of the rights offer for approximately 10 days,      
partly offset by the effect of interest capitalised a year ago.                 
The effective tax rate for the quarter was 36%, similar to a year ago.          
Taxation for the quarter includes Secondary Tax on Companies of US$4 million    
relating to dividends declared in the quarter.                                  
Basic EPS of 6 US cents per share for the quarter was favourably impacted by    
special items of 6 US cents per share. Basic EPS a year ago was 12 US cents per 
share (revised to reflect the rights offer in accordance with IAS 33).          
Cash flow and debt                                                              
Cash generated from operations was US$95 million, down from US$155 million a    
year ago, as a result of lower operating profit. Working capital increased      
US$96 million during the quarter compared to an increase of US$133 million a    
year ago.                                                                       
Following the commissioning of the Saiccor expansion we have contained capital  
expenditure to maintenance and short pay back items throughout the group. The   
cash effect of investing activities reduced to US$40 million compared to US$89  
million a year ago.                                                             
We paid a dividend of US$37 million during the quarter prior to the rights      
offer. Historically dividends have been paid early in the second quarter.       
The net proceeds of the rights offer conducted during the quarter of            
approximately US$532 million were received during December and were on hand at  
quarter end pending the completion of the acquisition of M-real`s coated        
graphic paper business (the "European Acquisition") on 31 December 2008. Net    
debt reported at quarter-end was therefore reduced by the additional cash on    
hand to US$2.0 billion from US$2.4 billion at September 2008. Excluding the     
proceeds of the rights offer, net debt was US$2.5 billion.                      
Operating review for the quarter ended December 2008 compared to the quarter    
ended December 2007                                                             
Sappi Fine Paper                                                                
                                                   Quarter         Quarter      
                                                     ended           ended      
Dec 2008       Sept 2007      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
Sales                                                   998           1,109     
Operating profit                                          8              31     
Operating profit to sales (%)                           0.8             2.8     
Special items                                             -               -     
Operating profit excluding special items                  8              31     
Operating profit excluding special                                              
items to sales (%)                                      0.8             2.8     
EBITDA excluding special items                           74             106     
EBITDA excluding special items                                                  
to sales (%)                                            7.4             9.6     
RONOA pa (%)                                            1.1             3.9     
                                                                   Quarter      
                                                                     ended      
                                                         %       Sept 2008      
change     US$ million      
Sales                                                (10.0)           1,222     
Operating profit                                     (74.2)            (80)     
Operating profit to sales (%)                             -           (6.5)     
Special items                                             -             124     
Operating profit excluding special items             (74.2)              44     
Operating profit excluding special                                              
items to sales (%)                                        -             3.6     
EBITDA excluding special items                       (30.2)             118     
EBITDA excluding special items                                                  
to sales (%)                                              -             9.7     
RONOA pa (%)                                              -             5.6     
Europe                                                                          
                                        Quarter         Quarter                 
                                          ended           ended          %      
                                       Dec 2008        Dec 2007     change      
US$ million     US$ million      (US$)      
Sales                                        561             638     (12.1)     
Operating profit                              13              19     (31.6)     
Operating profit to sales (%)                2.3             3.0          -     
Special items                                  -             (2)          -     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items                                 13              17     (23.5)     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items to sales (%)                   2.3             2.7          -     
EBITDA excluding special items                50              62     (19.4)     
EBITDA excluding special                                                        
items to sales (%)                           8.9             9.7          -     
RONOA pa (%)                                 3.1             3.5          -     
                                                                   Quarter      
                                                         %           ended      
                                                    change       Sept 2008      
(Euro)     US$ million      
Sales                                                 (5.1)             680     
Operating profit                                     (23.4)           (111)     
Operating profit to sales (%)                             -          (16.3)     
Special items                                             -             123     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items                                        (14.4)              12     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items to sales (%)                                -             1.8     
EBITDA excluding special items                       (13.1)              57     
EBITDA excluding special                                                        
items to sales (%)                                        -             8.4     
RONOA pa (%)                                              -             2.5     
Volumes for the quarter were affected by deteriorating market conditions. The   
latest available industry statistics for the quarter show an 11% year on year   
decline in coated woodfree paper deliveries in Europe for the quarter. We took  
significant downtime in December to match supply to demand, which had an        
unfavourable impact on margins.                                                 
We realised higher prices in Euro terms during the quarter with the average up  
7% compared to a year earlier.                                                  
Input prices are declining, particularly for pulp and energy; however, we will  
only benefit once higher-priced raw material inventories have been utilised.    
Blackburn Mill and Maastricht Mill`s Paper Machine No. 5 ceased production      
during the quarter, reducing our capacity of coated fine paper by 190,000 tons. 
The charges related to these closures were reported in the quarter ended        
September 2008.                                                                 
North America                                                                   
                                                   Quarter         Quarter      
ended           ended      
                                                  Dec 2008       Sept 2007      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
Sales                                                   363             384     
Operating profit                                        (7)              11     
Operating profit to sales (%)                         (1.9)             2.9     
Special items                                             -               2     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items                                           (7)              13     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items to sales (%)                            (1.9)             3.4     
EBITDA excluding special items                           19              40     
EBITDA excluding special                                                        
items to sales (%)                                      5.2            10.4     
RONOA pa (%)                                          (2.6)             5.0     
                                                                   Quarter      
ended      
                                                         %       Sept 2008      
                                                    change     US$ million      
Sales                                                 (5.5)             433     
Operating profit                                    (163.6)              30     
Operating profit to sales (%)                             -             6.9     
Special items                                             -               1     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items                                       (153.8)              31     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items to sales (%)                                -             7.2     
EBITDA excluding special items                       (52.5)              57     
EBITDA excluding special                                                        
items to sales (%)                                        -            13.2     
RONOA pa (%)                                              -            11.5     
Demand declined sharply during the quarter for both paper and pulp and we       
curtailed a significant amount of output to match the reduced demand.           
Industry shipments of coated fine paper show a decline of 18% year on year for  
the quarter.                                                                    
Prices for coated paper came under pressure towards the end of the quarter.     
Prices realised for pulp, however, collapsed in line with the NBSK prices.      
Demand for pulp also declined sharply.                                          
Major planned maintenance outages at the pulp mills, early in the quarter, had  
a further unfavourable impact on operating profit in the quarter.               
South Africa                                                                    
                                        Quarter         Quarter                 
                                          ended           ended          %      
                                       Dec 2008        Dec 2007     change      
US$ million     US$ million      (US$)      
Sales                                         74              87     (14.9)     
Operating profit                               2               1        100     
Operating profit to sales (%)                2.7             1.1          -     
Special items                                  -               -          -     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items                                  2               1        100     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items to sales (%)                   2.7             1.1          -     
EBITDA excluding special items                 5               4         25     
EBITDA excluding special                                                        
items to sales (%)                           6.8             4.6          -     
RONOA pa (%)                                 5.7             2.6          -     
                                                                   Quarter      
                                                         %           ended      
                                                    change       Sept 2008      
(Rand)     US$ million      
Sales                                                  24.4             109     
Operating profit                                      185.7               1     
Operating profit to sales (%)                             -             0.9     
Special items                                             -               -     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items                                         185.7               1     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items to sales (%)                                -             0.9     
EBITDA excluding special items                         81.5               4     
EBITDA excluding special                                                        
items to sales (%)                                        -             3.7     
RONOA pa (%)                                              -             3.4     
Sales volumes for the quarter were similar to a year earlier despite signs of   
weakening demand. In local currency, prices were above last year. High input    
costs continued to put pressure on margins.                                     
Forest Products                                                                 
                                        Quarter         Quarter                 
                                          ended           ended          %      
                                       Dec 2008        Dec 2007     change      
US$ million     US$ million      (US$)      
Sales                                        189             268     (29.5)     
Operating profit                              49              55     (10.9)     
Operating profit to sales (%)               25.9            20.5          -     
Special items                               (32)               1          -     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items                                 17              56     (69.6)     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items to sales (%)                  9 .0            20.9          -     
EBITDA excluding special items                32              77     (58.4)     
EBITDA excluding special                                                        
items to sales (%)                          16.9            28.7          -     
RONOA pa (%)                                 4.3            12.9          -     
                                                                   Quarter      
                                                         %           ended      
                                                    change       Sept 2008      
(Rand)     US$ million      
Sales                                                   3.0             297     
Operating profit                                       30.1             106     
Operating profit to sales (%)                             -            35.7     
Special items                                             -            (60)     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items                                        (55.5)              46     
Operating profit excluding                                                      
special items to sales (%)                                -            15.5     
EBITDA excluding special items                       (55.5)              63     
EBITDA excluding special                                                        
items to sales (%)                                        -            21.2     
RONOA pa (%)                                              -            10.7     
Although the domestic sales of newsprint and packaging paper were lower than a  
year ago, prices in Rand terms improved. The chemical cellulose business,       
however, was impacted by a substantial reduction in demand as from December as  
a result of reduced demand for textiles, particularly in Asia. Prices for       
chemical cellulose also fell, in line with NBSK prices which fell more than     
US$200 per ton during the quarter. The approximately 30% decline of the         
exchange rate of the Rand relative to the US Dollar from the September to the   
December quarter offset the US Dollar decline in NBSK prices. This, however,    
was not sufficient to offset the combined effect of the sharp decline in pulp   
prices, lower demand for chemical cellulose pulp and high input costs.          
Production during the quarter was reduced by maintenance shuts at Ngodwana Mill 
and Usutu Mill and as a result of a gas leak at Saiccor Mill.                   
European acquisition                                                            
The European acquisition for an enterprise value of Euro 750 million, was       
completed on 31 December 2008, which was after our quarter end and is subject   
to minor adjustments for working capital and assumed debt. Payment for the      
business comprised cash of Euro 400 million from the proceeds of the rights     
offer conducted during the quarter (see Note 1), vendor loan notes of Euro 220  
million, with the balance made up of 11 million Sappi shares and assumed debt.  
Action Plan and Outlook                                                         
The sharp decline in demand and the inventory reductions in the downstream      
supply chains for our products in the latter part of the last quarter has       
continued in January in most of our businesses. The impact on the sales of      
chemical cellulose was particularly sudden and is continuing.                   
In Europe demand for coated graphic paper was particularly weak in the first    
half of January. We curtailed output by about 25% in January and will continue  
to match output to demand going forward. M-real has announced that it will      
cease coated graphic paper production at Gohrsmuhle and Hallein mills, which    
have a capacity of 640,000 tons, by the end of April, which is expected to      
improve the industry supply/demand balance. Pricing for coated paper in Europe  
remains firm.                                                                   
The integration of the European Acquisition is proceeding well. The focus       
remains on customer relations and service, engaging our new and existing        
employees, integration of systems and delivery of synergies. The enlarged       
business gives us greater flexibility to manage our output to match demand, to  
negotiate improved input prices and to improve our service and product offering 
to customers. Although current market conditions, and particularly a slow-down  
in demand, will make it more difficult to realise the synergies in the short    
term, we remain confident that we should deliver the targeted Euro 120 million  
per annum of synergies within 3 years.                                          
In North America demand for coated paper was very low in the first weeks of     
January accompanied by downward pressure on pricing. We continue to curtail     
production to match output to demand. In addition, the weakness of pulp demand  
and the fall in pulp prices will impact the region`s profitability as it is a   
net seller of pulp. Release paper is also experiencing weak markets             
particularly in China and to the US motor industry. The North American business 
has taken steps to reduce its overhead costs and is exploring all means to      
further streamline its operations to reduce its cost base.                      
We expect the Southern African fine paper and packaging paper businesses to     
continue to perform moderately well. Demand in the local market has weakened    
less than global markets generally. We have taken and will continue to take     
commercial downtime when necessary. The viscose grade chemical cellulose and    
other exports, however, continue to be significantly affected by the major fall 
in demand and sharp fall in prices which has continued into the current         
quarter. The additional capacity at Saiccor following the commissioning of the  
expansion in September 2008 is not being utilised. We are therefore shutting    
certain elements of the old plant to reduce output to match demand while        
utilising the more efficient new plant as much as possible.                     
We expect input prices to continue to decline and for the reduction in our      
variable costs to accelerate as our higher cost inventories are utilised. We    
continue to focus on managing input price reductions and more efficient usage   
of raw materials. Curtailing output is likely to result in less efficient usage 
of raw materials, which will slow the expected reduction in input costs.        
The European business, which is a major pulp buyer, should benefit from the     
sharp fall in pulp prices. NBSK prices declined to US$610 per ton in January    
from an average of US$739 for the quarter ended December 2008 and US$885 for    
the quarter ended September 2008. The other regions will, however, be           
unfavourably impacted by this. Following the European Acquisition the group is  
a net buyer of pulp. Our level of pulp integration is now approximately 92%.    
Our short term outlook is for difficult global economic conditions to continue  
and for these to be reflected in demand for our products and our operating      
results. We do, however, expect some improvement in demand levels from the very 
low levels experienced late last quarter and in the first part of January. The  
operating profit excluding special items for the quarter ending March 2009 is   
expected to remain weak.                                                        
We will continue to prioritise cash flow management including managing          
inventory levels and reducing capital expenditure to the minimum level needed   
to keep our assets in good condition.                                           
We have implemented a number of actions which position the group well going     
forward, and we will continue to act decisively to manage our business through  
the current turmoil.                                                            
The greater flexibility to manage output following the European Acquisition,    
the improved efficiency of the Saiccor mill combined with our actions to reduce 
input costs and reduction of fixed costs will all help deal with current tough  
market conditions.                                                              
When market conditions improve, both the European Acquisition and the Saiccor   
expansion will help us to achieve the improvement in return on capital employed 
which we target.                                                                
On behalf of the board                                                          
R J Boettger       M R Thompson                                                 
Director           Director                         02 February 2009            
Other information (This information has not been reviewed)                      
special items                                                                   
Special items cover those items which management believe are material by nature 
or amount to the operating results and require separate disclosure.             
Such items would generally include profit or loss on disposal of property,      
investments and businesses, asset impairments, restructuring charges, financial 
impacts of natural disasters and non-cash gains or losses on the price fair     
value adjustment of plantations.                                                
Special items, excluding interest and tax effects, for the relevant periods     
are:                                                                            
                                                   Quarter         Quarter      
                                                     ended           ended      
Dec 2008        Dec 2007      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
Plantation price fair value adjustment                 (34)               1     
Restructuring provisions raised (released)                -             (1)     
Profit on disposal of property, plant &                                         
equipment                                               (1)             (1)     
Asset impairments                                         3               2     
                                                      (32)               1      
key regional figures                                                            
                                                   Quarter         Quarter      
                                                     ended           ended      
                                                  Dec 2008        Dec 2007      
Metric tons     Metric tons      
                                                   (000`s)         (000`s)      
Sales volume                                                                    
Fine Paper - North America                              330             373     
Europe                                                  556             624     
Southern Africa                                          77              76     
Total                                                   963           1,073     
Forest Products - Pulp and paper operations             279             345     
Forestry operations                                     242             200     
Total                                                 1,484           1,618     
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
Sales                                                                           
Fine Paper - North America                              363             384     
Europe                                                  561             638     
Southern Africa                                          74              87     
Total                                                   998           1,109     
Forest Products - Pulp and paper operations             174             252     
Forestry operations                                      15              16     
Total                                                 1,187           1,377     
Other information (this information has not been reviewed)                      
Quarter         Quarter      
                                                     ended           ended      
                                                  Dec 2008        Dec 2007      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
Operating profit                                                                
Fine Paper - North America                              (7)              11     
Europe                                                   13              19     
Southern Africa                                           2               1     
Total                                                     8              31     
Forest Products                                          49              55     
Corporate and other                                       -               5     
Total                                                    57              91     
Special items - (gains) losses                                                  
Fine Paper - North America                                -               2     
Europe                                                    -             (2)     
Total                                                     -               -     
Forest Products                                        (32)               1     
Total                                                  (32)               1     
Operating profit excluding special items                                        
Fine Paper - North America                              (7)              13     
Europe                                                   13              17     
Southern Africa                                           2               1     
Total                                                     8              31     
Forest Products                                          17              56     
Corporate and other                                       -               5     
Total                                                    25              92     
EBITDA excluding special items                                                  
Fine Paper - North America                               19              40     
Europe                                                   50              62     
Southern Africa                                           5               4     
Total                                                    74             106     
Forest Products                                          32              77     
Corporate and other                                       -               5     
Total                                                   106             188     
forward-looking statements                                                      
Certain statements in this release that are neither reported financial results  
nor other historical information, are forward-looking statements, including     
but not limited to statements that are predictions of or indicate future        
earnings, savings, synergies, events, trends, plans or objectives. Undue        
reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their nature, they 
are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by 
other factors, that could cause actual results and company plans and objectives 
to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking     
statements (or from past results). Such risks, uncertainties and factors        
include, but are not limited to, the impact of the global economic downturn,    
the risk that the European Acquisition will not be integrated successfully or   
such integration may be more difficult, time-consuming or costly than           
expected, expected revenue synergies and cost savings from the acquisition may  
not be fully realized or realized within the expected time frame, revenues      
following the acquisition may be lower than expected, any anticipated benefits  
from the consolidation of the European paper business may not be achieved, the  
highly cyclical nature of the pulp and paper industry (and the factors that     
contribute to such cyclicality, such as levels of demand, production capacity,  
production, input costs including raw material, energy and employee costs, and  
pricing), adverse changes in the markets for the group`s products, consequences 
of substantial leverage, including as a result of adverse changes in credit     
markets that affect our ability to raise capital when needed, changing          
regulatory requirements, unanticipated production disruptions (including as a   
result of planned or unexpected power outages), economic and political          
conditions in international markets, the impact of investments, acquisitions    
and dispositions (including related financing), any delays, unexpected costs or 
other problems experienced with integrating acquisitions and achieving expected 
savings and synergies and currency fluctuations. The company undertakes no      
obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking            
statements, whether to reflect new information or future events or              
circumstances or otherwise.                                                     
We have included in this announcement an estimate of total synergies from the   
acquisition of M-real`s coated graphic paper business and the integration of    
the acquired business into our existing business. The estimate of synergies     
that we expect to achieve following the completion of the acquisition is based  
on assumptions which in the view of our management were prepared on a           
reasonable basis, reflect the best currently available estimates and judgments, 
and present, to the best of our management`s knowledge and belief, the expected 
course of action and the expected future financial impact on our performance    
due to the acquisition. However, the assumptions about these expected synergies 
are inherently uncertain and, though considered reasonable by management as of  
the date of preparation, are subject to a wide variety of significant business, 
economic and competitive risks and uncertainties that could cause actual        
results to differ materially from those contained in this estimate of           
synergies. There can be no assurance that we will be able to successfully       
implement the strategic or operational initiatives that are intended, or        
realise the estimated synergies. This synergy estimate is not a profit forecast 
or a profit estimate and should not be treated as such or relied on by          
shareholders or prospective investors to calculate the likely level of profits  
or losses for Sappi for fiscal 2009 or beyond.                                  
Group income statement                                                          
                                                                  Reviewed      
                                                                   Quarter      
ended      
                                                                  Dec 2008      
                                                     Notes     US$ million      
Sales                                                                 1,187     
Cost of sales                                                         1,042     
Gross profit                                                            145     
Selling, general & administrative expenses                               86     
Other operating expenses                                                  3     
Share of profit from associates and joint ventures                      (1)     
Operating profit                                          3              57     
Net finance costs                                                        21     
Net interest                                                             31     
Finance cost capitalised                                                  -     
Net foreign exchange gains                                              (7)     
Net fair value (gain) loss on financial instruments                     (3)     
Profit before taxation                                                   36     
Taxation                                                                 13     
Current                                                                  10     
Deferred                                                                  3     
Profit for the period                                                    23     
Basic earnings per share (US cents)                       1               6     
Weighted average number of shares in issue (millions)     1           383.0     
Diluted basic earnings per share (US cents)               1               6     
Weighted average number of shares on fully                                      
diluted basis (millions)                                  1           385.5     
                                                     Reviewed                   
                                                      Quarter                   
                                                        ended                   
Dec 2007                   
                                                  US$ million     % change      
Sales                                                    1,377         (14)     
Cost of sales                                            1,197                  
Gross profit                                               180         (19)     
Selling, general & administrative expenses                  92                  
Other operating expenses                                     1                  
Share of profit from associates and joint ventures         (4)                  
Operating profit                                            91         (37)     
Net finance costs                                           28                  
Net interest                                                37                  
Finance cost capitalised                                   (9)                  
Net foreign exchange gains                                 (1)                  
Net fair value (gain) loss on financial instruments          1                  
Profit before taxation                                      63         (43)     
Taxation                                                    21                  
Current                                                      3                  
Deferred                                                    18                  
Profit for the period                                       42         (45)     
Basic earnings per share (US cents)                         12                  
Weighted average number of shares in issue (millions)    361.6                  
Diluted basic earnings per share (US cents)                 12                  
Weighted average number of shares on fully                                      
diluted basis (millions)                                 365.0                  
Group balance sheet                                                             
                                                  Reviewed        Reviewed      
                                                  Dec 2008       Sept 2008      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
ASSETS                                                                          
Non-current assets                                    4,049           4,408     
Property, plant and equipment                         3,081           3,361     
Plantations                                             558             631     
Deferred taxation                                        48              41     
Other non-current assets                                362             375     
Current assets                                        2,275           1,701     
Inventories                                             766             725     
Trade and other receivables                             568             702     
Cash and cash equivalents                               941             274     
Total assets                                          6,324           6,109     
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES                                                          
Shareholders` equity                                                            
Ordinary shareholders` interest                       1,863           1,605     
Non-current liabilities                               2,503           2,578     
Interest-bearing borrowings                           1,819           1,832     
Deferred taxation                                       354             399     
Other non-current liabilities                           330             347     
Current liabilities                                   1,958           1,926     
Interest-bearing borrowings                           1,058             821     
Bank overdraft                                           29              26     
Other current liabilities                               801           1,025     
Taxation payable                                         70              54     
Total equity and liabilities                          6,324           6,109     
Number of shares in issue at balance sheet date                                 
(millions)                                            504.8           229.2     
Group cash flow statement                                                       
                                                  Reviewed        Reviewed      
Quarter         Quarter      
                                                     ended           ended      
                                                  Dec 2008        Dec 2007      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
Profit for the period                                    23              42     
Adjustment for:                                                                 
Depreciation, fellings and amortisation                  97             117     
Taxation                                                 13              21     
Net finance costs                                        21              28     
Post employment benefits                                (8)            (14)     
Other non-cash items                                   (51)            (39)     
Cash generated from operations                           95             155     
Movement in working capital                            (96)           (133)     
Net finance costs                                      (44)            (59)     
Taxation recovered (paid)                                 1             (7)     
Dividends paid *                                       (37)               -     
Cash utilised in operating activities                  (81)            (44)     
Cash utilised in investing activities                  (40)            (89)     
                                                     (121)           (133)      
Cash effects of financing activities                    793             223     
Net movement in cash and cash equivalents               672              90     
* Dividend no 85: 16 US cents per share paid on 28 November 2008                
Group statement of recognised income and expense                                
                                                  Reviewed        Reviewed      
Quarter         Quarter      
                                                     ended           ended      
                                                  Dec 2008        Dec 2007      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
Exchange differences on translation of foreign                                  
operations                                            (293)            (10)     
Unrealised gain on cash flow hedge                       32               -     
Tax effect of cash flow hedge                           (9)               2     
Net expense recorded directly in equity               (270)             (8)     
Profit for the period                                    23              42     
Total recognised (expense) income for the period      (247)              34     
Notes to the group results                                                      
1. Basis of preparation                                                         
The condensed financial statements have been prepared in accordance with        
International Accounting Standard 34, Interim Financial Reporting. The          
accounting policies and methods of computation used in the preparation of the   
results are consistent, in all material respects, with those used in the        
annual financial statements for September 2008 which are compliant with         
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as issued by the             
International Accounting Standards Board.                                       
The preliminary results for the three month period ended December 2008 have     
been reviewed in terms of the International Standard on Review                  
Engagements 2410 by the group`s auditors, Deloitte & Touche. Their              
unmodified review report is available for inspection at the company`s           
registered offices.                                                             
In November and December 2008, Sappi conducted a renounceable rights offer of   
286,886,270 new ordinary shares of ZAR1.00 each to qualifying Sappi             
shareholders recorded in the shareholders register at the close of business on  
Friday 21 November 2008, at a subscription price of ZAR20.27 per rights offer   
share in the ratio of 6 rights offer shares for every 5 Sappi shares held. The  
rights offer was fully subscribed and the shareholders received their shares on 
15 December 2008. The rights offer raised ZAR5,8 billion which was used to      
partly finance the acquisition of the coated graphic paper business of M-real   
and the related costs.                                                          
Following the rights offer, prior period Basic and Diluted earnings per share   
have been restated for the bonus element of the rights offer in accordance with 
IAS 33. Please refer to Supplemental Information for a summary of this          
calculation.                                                                    
2. Reconciliation of movement in shareholders` equity                           
                                                  Reviewed        Reviewed      
Quarter         Quarter      
                                                     ended           ended      
                                                  Dec 2008        Dec 2007      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
Balance - beginning of period                         1,605           1,816     
Total recognised (expense) income for the period      (247)              34     
Dividends declared                                     (37)            (73)     
Rights issue net of directly attributable costs         536               -     
Transfers to participants of the share purchase                                 
trust                                                     3               2     
Share based payment reserve                               3               2     
Balance - end of period                               1,863           1,781     
3. Operating profit                                                             
Included in operating profit are the following                                  
non-cash items:                                                                 
Depreciation and amortisation                            81              96     
Fair value adjustment on plantations (included                                  
in cost of sales)                                                               
Changes in volume                                                               
Fellings                                                 16              21     
Growth                                                 (16)            (18)     
                                                         -               3      
Plantation price fair value adjustment                 (34)               1     
                                                      (34)               4      
Included in other operating expenses are the                                    
following:                                                                      
Asset impairments                                         3               2     
Profit on disposal of property, plant &                                         
equipment                                               (1)             (1)     
Restructuring provisions released                         -             (1)     
Notes to the group results                                                      
                                                  Reviewed        Reviewed      
Quarter         Quarter      
                                                     ended           ended      
                                                  Dec 2008        Dec 2007      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
4. Headline earnings per share *                                                
Headline earnings per share (US cents) **                 7              12     
Weighted average number of shares in issue                                      
(millions) **                                         383.0           361.6     
Diluted headline earnings per share (US cents) **         6              12     
Weighted average number of shares on fully                                      
diluted basis (millions) **                           385.5           365.0     
Calculation of Headline earnings *                                              
Profit for the period                                    23              42     
Asset impairments                                         3               2     
Profit on disposal of property, plant &                                         
equipment                                               (1)               -     
Tax effect of above items                                 -               -     
Headline earnings                                        25              44     
* Headline earnings disclosure is required by the JSE Limited.                  
** Prior period headline earnings per share has been restated for the bonus     
element of the rights offer in accordance with IAS 33. Please refer to          
Supplemental Information for a summary of this calculation.                     
5. Capital expenditure                                                          
Property, plant and equipment                            47             109     
Dec 2008       Sept 2008      
                                               US$ million     US$ million      
6. Capital commitments                                                          
Contracted                                              111              76     
Approved but not contracted                             178             130     
                                                       289             206      
7. Contingent liabilities                                                       
Guarantees and suretyships                               44              38     
Other contingent liabilities                              7               7     
                                                        51              45      
8. Material balance sheet movements                                             
Plantations                                                                     
The decrease in the value of plantations arises upon translation of the         
plantations from Rands to US Dollars.                                           
Trade and other receivables and other current liabilities.                      
The lower operating performance has resulted in a reduction of both trade       
payables and trade receivables.                                                 
Interest-bearing borrowings and cash and cash equivalents                       
Included in cash and cash equivalents is US$532 million which is the net cash   
proceeds from the rights issue (after directly attributable costs). During the  
quarter, the group also drew down US$70 million of its committed facilities.    
9. Subsequent events                                                            
The acquisition of M-real`s coated graphic paper business for an enterprise     
value of Euro 750 million, was completed on 31 December 2008, which was after   
our quarter end and is subject to minor adjustments for working capital and     
assumed debt. Payment for the business comprised cash of Euro 400 million from  
the proceeds of the rights offer conducted during the quarter (see Note 1),     
vendor loan notes of Euro 220 million, with the balance made up of 11 million   
Sappi shares and assumed debt.                                                  
Notes to the group results                                                      
                                     Reviewed        Reviewed                   
                                      Quarter         Quarter                   
ended           ended                   
                                     Dec 2008        Dec 2007                   
                                  US$ million     US$ million     % change      
10. Regional information                                                        
Sales                                                                           
Fine Paper - North America                 363             384          (5)     
Europe                                     561             638         (12)     
Southern Africa                             74              87         (15)     
Total                                      998           1,109         (10)     
Forest Products - Pulp and paper                                                
operations                                 174             252         (31)     
Forestry operations                         15              16          (6)     
Total                                    1,187           1,377         (14)     
Operating profit                                                                
Fine Paper - North America                 (7)              11            -     
Europe                                      13              19         (32)     
Southern Africa                              2               1          100     
Total                                        8              31         (74)     
Forest Products                             49              55         (11)     
Corporate and other                          -               5            -     
Total                                       57              91         (37)     
Net operating assets                                                            
Fine Paper - North America               1,100           1,029            7     
Europe                                   1,599           1,991         (20)     
Southern Africa                            170             153           11     
Total                                    2,869           3,173         (10)     
Forest Products                          1,456           1,830         (20)     
Corporate and other                        139            (38)            -     
Total                                    4,464           4,965         (10)     
Supplemental Information (this information has not been reviewed)               
general definitions                                                             
Average - averages are calculated as the sum of the opening and closing         
balances for the relevant period divided by two                                 
Fellings - the amount charged against the income statement representing the     
standing value of the plantations harvested                                     
NBSK - Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft pulp. One of the main varieties of      
market pulp, mainly produced from spruce trees in Scandinavia, Canada and north 
eastern USA. The NBSK is a benchmark widely used in the pulp and paper industry 
for comparative purposes                                                        
SG&A - selling, general and administrative expenses                             
Non-GAAP measures                                                               
The group believes that it is useful to report certain non-GAAP measures for    
the following reasons:                                                          
- these measures are used by the group for internal performance analysis;       
- the presentation by the group`s reported business segments of these measures  
facilitates comparability with other companies in our industry, although the    
group`s measures may not be comparable with similarly titled profit             
measurements reported by other companies; and                                   
- it is useful in connection with discussion with the investment analyst        
community and debt rating agencies.                                             
These non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation or construed as   
a substitute for GAAP measures in accordance with IFRS                          
Capital employed - shareholders` equity plus net debt                           
EBITDA excluding special items - earnings before interest (net finance costs),  
taxation, depreciation, amortisation and special items                          
European acquisition - the aquisition of M-real`s coated graphic business on    
31 December 2008                                                                
Headline earnings - as defined in circular 8/2007 issued by the South African   
Institute of Chartered Accountants, separates from earnings all separately      
identifiable re-measurements. It is not necessarily a measure of sustainable    
earnings. It is a listing requirement of the JSE Limited to disclose headline   
earnings per share                                                              
Net debt - current and non-current interest-bearing borrowings, and bank        
overdraft (net of cash, cash equivalents and short-term deposits)               
Net debt to total capitalisation - net debt divided by capital employed         
Net operating assets - total assets (excluding deferred taxation and cash and   
cash equivalents) less current liabilities (excluding interest-bearing          
borrowings and bank overdraft)                                                  
Net assets - total assets less total liabilities                                
Net asset value per share - net assets divided by the number of shares in issue 
at balance sheet date                                                           
ROCE - return on average capital employed. Operating profit excluding special   
items divided by average capital employed                                       
ROE - return on average equity. Profit for the period divided by average        
shareholders` equity                                                            
RONOA - return on average net operating assets. Operating profit excluding      
special items divided by average net operating assets                           
Special items - special items cover those items which management believe are    
material by nature or amount to the operating results and require separate      
disclosure. Such items would generally include profit or loss on disposal of    
property, investments and businesses, asset impairments, restructuring charges, 
financial impacts of natural disasters and non-cash gains or losses on the      
price fair value adjustment of plantations                                      
The above financial measures are presented to assist our shareholders and the   
investment community in interpreting our financial results. These financial     
measures are regularly used and compared between companies in our industry.     
Restatement of earnings per share numbers for bonus element of rights issue     
In accordance with IAS 33, prior period basic, headline and diluted earnings    
per share have been restated to take into account the bonus element of the      
rights offer. The prior period weighted average number of shares has been       
adjusted by a factor of 1.58 (the adjustment factor) for the issuance of        
286,886,270 new ordinary shares of ZAR1.00 each, at a subscription price of     
ZAR20.27 per rights offer share in the ratio of 6 rights offer shares for every 
5 Sappi shares held. The adjustment factor is calculated using the pre          
-announcement share price divided by the theoretical ex-rights price (TERP).    
TERP is the ((Number of new shares multiplied by the Subscription price) plus   
the (Number of shares held multiplied by the ex-dividend share price)) all      
divided by the (Number of new shares plus the number of shares held prior to    
the rights offer).                                                              
Supplemental Information (this information has not been reviewed)               
EBITDA excluding special items                                                  
                                                   Quarter         Quarter      
                                                     ended           ended      
                                                  Dec 2008        Dec 2007      
US$ million     US$ million      
Reconciliation of profit for the period to                                      
EBITDA excluding                                                                
special items (1)                                                               
Profit for the period                                    23              42     
Net finance costs                                        21              28     
Taxation                                                 13              21     
Special items - (gains) losses                         (32)               1     
Operating profit excluding special items                 25              92     
Depreciation and amortisation                            81              96     
EBITDA excluding special items (1)                      106             188     
                                                  Dec 2008       Sept 2008      
US$ million     US$ million      
Net debt including cash from rights offer                                       
(US$ million) (2)                                     1,965           2,405     
Net debt excluding cash from rights offer                                       
(US$ million) (2)                                     2,497           2,405     
Net debt to total capitalisation (2) including                                  
rights offer cash                                      51.3            60.0     
Net debt to total capitalisation (2) excluding                                  
rights offer cash                                      57.3            60.0     
Net asset value per share (US$) (2)                    3.69            7.00     
(1)In connection with the U.S. Securities Exchange Commission ("SEC") rules     
relating to "Conditions for Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures", we have        
reconciled EBITDA excluding special items to net profit rather than operating   
profit. As a result our definition retains minority interest as part of EBITDA  
excluding special items.                                                        
Operating profit excluding special items represents earnings before interest    
(net finance costs), taxation and special items. Net finance costs includes:    
gross interest paid; interest received; interest capitalised; net foreign       
exchange gains; and net fair value adjustments on interest rate financial       
instruments. See the group income statement for an explanation of the           
computation of net finance costs. Special items cover those items which         
management believe are material by nature or amount to the operating results    
and require separate disclosure. Such items would generally include profit and  
loss on disposal of property, investments and businesses, asset impairments,    
restructuring charges, financial impacts of natural disasters and non-cash      
gains or losses on the price fair value adjustment of plantations.              
EBITDA excluding special items represents operating profit before depreciation, 
amortisation and special items. We use both operating profit excluding special  
items and EBITDA excluding special items as internal measures of performance to 
benchmark and compare performance, both between our own operations and as       
against other companies. Operating profit excluding special items and EBITDA    
excluding special items are measures used by the group, together with measures  
of performance under IFRS, to compare the relative performance of operations    
in planning, budgeting and reviewing the performances of various businesses. We 
believe they are useful and commonly used measures of financial performance in  
addition to net profit, operating profit and other profitability measures under 
IFRS because they facilitate operating performance comparisons from period to   
period and company to company. By eliminating potential differences in results  
of operations between periods or companies caused by factors such as            
depreciation and amortisation methods, historic cost and age of assets,         
financing and capital structures and taxation positions or regimes, we believe  
both operating profit excluding special items and EBITDA excluding special      
items can provide a useful additional basis for comparing the current           
performance of the operations being evaluated. For these reasons, we believe    
operating profit excluding special items and EBITDA excluding special items and 
similar measures are regularly used by the investment community as a means of   
comparison of companies in our industry. Different companies and analysts may   
calculate operating profit excluding special items and EBITDA excluding special 
items differently, so making comparisons among companies on this basis should   
be done very carefully. Operating profit excluding special items and EBITDA     
excluding special items are not measures of performance under IFRS and should   
not be considered in isolation or construed as a substitute for operating       
profit or net profit as indicators of the company`s operations in accordance    
with IFRS.                                                                      
(2)Refer to Supplemental Information for the definition of the term.            
Supplemental Information (this information has not been reviewed)               
summary rand convenience translation                                            
                                         Quarter      Quarter                   
                                           ended        ended                   
                                        Dec 2008     Dec 2007     % change      
Key figures: (ZAR million)                                                      
Sales                                      11,702        9,293           26     
Operating profit                              562          614          (8)     
Special items - (gains) losses *            (315)            7            -     
Operating profit excluding special items      246          621         (60)     
EBITDA excluding special items *            1,045        1,269         (18)     
Basic EPS (SA cents)                           59           81         (27)     
Net debt * including rights offer cash     19,090       16,983           12     
Net debt * excluding rights offer cash     24,258       16,983           43     
Key ratios: (%)                                                                 
Operating profit to sales                     4.8          6.6                  
Operating profit excluding special items                                        
to sales                                      2.1          6.7                  
Operating profit excluding special items                                        
to Capital Employed (ROCE)                    1.8          5.8                  
EBITDA excluding special items to sales       8.9         13.7                  
Net debt to total capitalisation *                                              
including rights offer cash                  51.3         58.3                  
Net debt to total capitalisat ion *                                             
excluding rights offer cash                  57.3         58.3                  
* Refer to Supplemental Information for the definition of the term.             
The above financial results have been translated into ZAR from US Dollars as    
follows:                                                                        
- Assets and liabilities at rates of exchange ruling at period end; and         
- Income, expenditure and cash flow items at average exchange rates.            
exchange rates                                                                  
                                                Dec       Sept        June      
                                               2008       2008        2008      
Exchange rates:                                                                 
Period end rate: US$1 = ZAR                   9.7148     8.0751      7.9145     
Average rate for the Quarter: US$1 = ZAR      9.8584     7.8150      7.8385     
Average rate for the YTD: US$1 = ZAR          9.8584     7.4294      7.3236     
Period end rate: EUR 1 = US$                  1.4064     1.4615      1.5795     
Average rate for the Quarter: EUR 1 = US$     1.3471     1.5228      1.5747     
Average rate for the YTD: EUR 1 = US$         1.3471     1.5064      1.5071     
                                                          March        Dec      
2008       2007      
Exchange rates:                                                                 
Period end rate: US$1 = ZAR                               8.1432     6.8068     
Average rate for the Quarter: US$1 = ZAR                  7.4593     6.7488     
Average rate for the YTD: US$1 = ZAR                      7.1465     6.7488     
Period end rate: EUR 1 = US$                              1.5802     1.4717     
Average rate for the Quarter: EUR 1 = US$                 1.5006     1.4556     
Average rate for the YTD: EUR 1 = US$                     1.4790     1.4556     
The financial results of entities with reporting currencies other than the US   
Dollar are translated into US Dollars as follows:                               
- Assets and liabilities at rates of exchange ruling at period end; and         
- Income, expenditure and cash flow items at average exchange rates.            
Other interested parties can obtain printed copies of this report from:         
South Africa:                                                                   
Computershare Investor                                                          
Services (Proprietary) Limited                                                  
70 Marshall Street                                                              
Johannesburg 2001                                                               
PO Box 61051                                                                    
Marshalltown 2107                                                               
Tel +27 (0)11 370 5000                                                          
United States:                                                                  
ADR Depositary:                                                                 
The Bank of New York Mellon                                                     
Investor Relations                                                              
PO Box 11258                                                                    
Church Street Station                                                           
New York, NY 10286-1258                                                         
Tel +1 610 382 7836                                                             
Channel Islands:                                                                
Capita Registrars                                                               
(Jersey) Limited                                                                
12 Castle Street                                                                
St Helier,                                                                      
Jersey                                                                          
JE2 3RT                                                                         
Tel +44 (0)208 639 3399                                                         
this report is available on the Sappi website www.sappi.com                     
Date: 02/02/2009 09:00:01 Produced by the JSE SENS Department.                  
The SENS service is an information dissemination service administered by the    
JSE Limited (`JSE`). The JSE does not, whether expressly, tacitly or            
implicitly, represent, warrant or in any way guarantee the truth, accuracy or   
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indirect, incidental or consequential loss or damage of any kind or nature,     
howsoever arising, from the use of SENS or the use of, or reliance on,          
information disseminated through SENS.
Profile Group (Pty) Ltd. has taken care in preparing all information on this website, but does not accept any liability for errors or out-of-date information.
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