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Tue 5 Jul 2011, 12:51 GRF - Group Five Limited - Trading update
GRF
GRF                                                                             
GRF - Group Five Limited - Trading update                                       
GROUP FIVE LIMITED                                                              
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)                                  
(Registration number 1969/000032/06)                                            
Share code: GRF  ISIN: ZAE000027405                                             
("Group Five" or "the Group" or "the Company")                                  
Trading update                                                                  
The slowdown within the construction sector in the last two years following     
the global market crisis has worsened trading conditions in the construction    
and materials markets in which Group Five operates. This has negatively         
impacted performance in the current year as the Group still benefited in the    
2010 financial year from the majority of large public sector contracts          
awarded ahead of the World Cup. In the interim, to mitigate this environment    
to some extent, the Group has successfully re-entered targeted African          
markets where it has an established track record.                               
Shareholders are therefore advised that, for the full year ended 30 June        
2011, the Group expects:                                                        
    *    Fully diluted headline earnings per share ("FDHEPS") to be between     
         45% and 55% lower (253 cents per share to 309 cents per share)         
compared to the 561 cents per share in F2010                           
    *    Headline earnings per share ("HEPS") to be between 45% and 55%         
         lower (277 cents per share to 338 cents per share) compared to the     
         614 cents per share in F2010                                           
*    Fully diluted earnings per share ("FDEPS") to be between 195% and      
         205% lower (loss of 243 cents per share to loss of 269 cents per       
         share) compared to the 256 cents per share in F2010                    
    *    Earnings per share ("EPS") to be between 190% and 200% lower (loss     
of 252 cents per share to loss of 280 cents per share) compared to     
         the EPS of 280 cents per share in F2010                                
As outlined in the interim results, an impairment of the Group`s long-term      
assets held by the Construction Materials cluster was recorded due to the       
severity of the materials market deterioration and weaker forecasts. This       
impairment remains the material difference between earnings and headline        
earnings.                                                                       
In addition, in the second half of the financial year under review, the Group   
incurred a number of once-off costs which negatively affected headline          
earnings. These costs are operational in nature and when combined, they had     
an effect on the full year`s results, these costs include:                      
    *    Planned restructuring and rationalisation costs within the             
Construction Materials cluster, as outlined in the Group`s interim     
         results                                                                
    *    Holding costs in the Middle East following the market downturn,        
         including:                                                             
*    Resources focused specifically on regional business               
              development and the successful progressive commercial and         
              financial close of legacy contracts in Dubai.                     
         *    The time discounting effect of reflecting the present value of    
the unchanged certified debt on one of the Group`s previously     
              reported cancelled contracts. We have received cash flow in       
              line with the signed payment plan agreed with our client.         
         *    Costs for corrective action that was successfully implemented     
on a Jordanian pipeline contract.                                 
         *    Steel supply loss on one, near complete, joint venture            
              contract in manufacturing.                                        
Save for the abovementioned costs and the effects of worsened trading           
conditions in manufacturing, the rest of the Group`s businesses performed in    
line with guidance issued at the last reporting period.                         
In spite of sluggish domestic concessions and PPP activities and the economic   
pressures in Europe, Investments and Concessions remained stable as new         
tolling contracts came on line in Eastern Europe and South Africa.              
Manufacturing and Construction Materials suffered from a combination of         
declining volumes, delayed contract awards, a strong rand and pricing           
pressures. Encouragingly, there have been early signs of price and volume       
stability returning to the Construction Materials market in the last few        
months.                                                                         
With the exception of the Middle East, as discussed above, the Group`s          
largest segment, Construction, held up well, based on good contract execution   
and the benefit of a number of longer term and some African contracts that      
were strategically secured in previous periods.                                 
Market conditions                                                               
The South African construction and engineering market has seen further          
contract award delays and limited work flow into an industry that is already    
carrying significant over-capacity. The tender work that is taking place is     
heavily contested by large and small contractors with extremely aggressive      
pricing. Emphasis on a larger geographical footprint for more of the Group`s    
business units and achieving early wins in the re-emergence of the mining and   
energy markets in Africa remains the strategy to reduce the reliance on weak    
domestic markets.                                                               
The construction industry in the Group`s targeted geographies and sectors has   
solid medium and long term prospects, but in the short term, conditions are     
worse than envisaged. This weakness is expected to extend for longer, with a    
slow rate of a broader market recovery materialising from the second half of    
F2012 which will inform trading performance for F2013.                          
The Group`s audited results for the full year ended 30th June 2011 will be      
released on SENS on 15thAugust 2011, when the Group will be updating the        
market on its business at a presentation in Johannesburg on the same day, and   
in Cape Town on 16th August 2011. The presentation will be available on the     
15th August 2011on the Group`s website, www.groupfive.co.za                     
Johannesburg                                                                    
5 July 2011                                                                     
Sponsor                                                                         
Nedbank Capital                                                                 
Date: 05/07/2011 12:51:01 Produced by the JSE SENS Department.                  
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