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Tue 29 Nov 2011, 13:00 GRF - Group Five Limited - Voluntary market and operating update
GRF
GRF                                                                             
GRF - Group Five Limited - Voluntary market and operating update                
GROUP FIVE LIMITED                                                              
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)                                  
(Registration number 1969/000032/06)                                            
Share code: GRF  ISIN: ZAI 000027405                                            
("Group Five" or "the Group" or "the Company")                                  
Voluntary market and operating update                                           
The Group issues this voluntary statement to coincide with the hosting of       
a Management -Media morning and an Investor-Management afternoon                
function, facilitated by the Investment Analysts Society today. The Group       
will be providing an update on current market and operating conditions          
and the effect that these have had on its strategy, with access to              
executive committee management. All presentation material and information       
handouts will be available on the Group`s website, www.groupfive.co.za,         
concurrently with the release of this announcement.                             
Market conditions                                                               
Since the Group released its full year financial results on 15th August         
2011, conditions in the markets in which the Group operates have remained       
constrained.                                                                    
Investments and Concessions                                                     
Outlook for new European concession projects remains subdued for the next       
few years. The market with best prospects remains Poland. The South             
African business continues to perform well off a stable platform from the       
recently secured CTROM contracts, but the postponement and cancellation         
of PPP`s together with generally protracted processes have subdued the          
domestic concessions outlook. By comparison, however, Africa offers             
better prospects where the group`s expertise in concession development          
has been welcomed.                                                              
Manufacturing                                                                   
The residential market remains depressed although a small recovery in           
Fibre-Cement volumes has been noted. The public sector remains sluggish,        
with delayed Advance Building Technologies ("ABT") project awards. Export       
markets are showing very strong demand, with higher volumes into sub-           
Saharan Africa.                                                                 
Construction Materials                                                          
Gauteng fixed location quarry markets continue to struggle as a result of       
    *    a high level of competition in the north of Gauteng;                   
    *    the increasing presence of surface (dump) rock crushers in the         
         East of Gauteng; and                                                   
*    volumes continuing to drop and pricing still being poor.               
The readymix market has declined further since June 2011 with additional        
market share being enjoyed by the cement majors in support of their             
cement production volumes.                                                      
Construction                                                                    
South African construction market conditions have deteriorated on the           
back of excess capacity in general building and civil works, exacerbated        
by weak private sector demand and by government`s lack of consistency as        
illustrated by:                                                                 
    *    recent government announcements delaying or cancelling a number        
         of active PPP tenders;                                                 
    *    the suspension and/or review of commitments to several large           
projects including future phases of the Gauteng Freeway                
         Improvement Project and the N1-N2 Winelands toll road project;         
         and                                                                    
    *    the delay in releasing for implementation the Department of            
Energy`s Peaking power plant projects.                                 
Most of these projects are those in which the Group has established a           
strong strategic position, requiring substantial investments in cash and        
human capital resources over a number of years, in response to the              
government`s stated commitment to these projects and their request for          
partnerships with the private sector for the delivery of the much-needed        
national infrastructure.                                                        
There is, however, positive growth in selected African markets,                 
particularly in commodity resource rich economies where the Group has           
proven capabilities and an enviable track record.                               
The Middle East market continues to offer potential growth in the medium        
to long term, but is currently plagued by over-capacity and a shortage of       
liquidity which hampers both work procurement and timeous contract              
closure.                                                                        
Operating Update                                                                
Investments and Concessions                                                     
The underlying financial performance remains sound on the back of a             
quality portfolio of secured contracts with profitable long term revenue        
streams in both Eastern Europe and South Africa.                                
Manufacturing                                                                   
The Fibre Cement market is showing some signs of recovery, with the level       
of order activity slowly improving, aided by increasing export activity         
on the back of the weakening Rand. ABT volumes have been hampered during        
the first half year due to the fact that government`s housing projects          
have been slow to be released.                                                  
A decision to close our loss-making Structural Steel business was made as       
poor market opportunities and pricing, coupled with weak internal               
efficiencies, hampered the viability of the operation.                          
Construction Materials                                                          
Construction Materials continues to experience tough trading conditions.        
In response the Group has                                                       
    *    further reduced overheads;                                             
*    centralised functions;                                                 
    *    amended crushing runs at its quarries; and                             
    *    mothballed another four readymix batch plants.                         
Management is evaluating near term options for this business.                   
Construction                                                                    
The Group`s Construction units are performing well, although in much            
tighter markets where margins remain under pressure. The Group`s target         
opportunity pipeline remains stable at circa R130 billion which provides        
the basis for expectations of improved trading conditions in the medium         
term, particularly in key infrastructure sectors in which the Group has         
capabilities                                                                    
The Group`s balance sheet remains healthy and it retains a net debt             
ungeared position.                                                              
Shareholders, however, are advised that, in the short term, expectations        
are that H1 F2012 and F2012 will be weaker than previously expected and         
prospects for a recovery remain anticipated in F2013. The Group is not in       
a position to provide further guidance at this time but anticipates being       
able to release a trading update on H1 F2012 and the outlook for F2012 in       
January 2012.                                                                   
Despite these market conditions, the Group maintains its secured                
construction works order book at R9 billion (previously reported August         
2011: R8,8 billion)                                                             
Johannesburg                                                                    
29 November 2011                                                                
Sponsor                                                                         
Nedbank Capital                                                                 
Date: 29/11/2011 13:00:01 Produced by the JSE SENS Department.                  
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