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Wed 8 Feb 2012, 13:00 VOD - Vodacom Group Limited - Vodacom Group Limited trading statement for the
VOD
VOD                                                                             
VOD - Vodacom Group Limited - Vodacom Group Limited trading statement for the   
quarter ended 31 December 2011                                                  
Vodacom Group Limited                                                           
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)                                  
Registration number: 1993/005461/06                                             
(ISIN: ZAE000132577  Share Code: VOD)                                           
(ISIN: ZAG000091067  JSE Code: VOD002)                                          
(`Vodacom`)                                                                     
News release                                                                    
8 February 2012                                                                 
Vodacom Group Limited trading statement for the quarter ended 31 December       
2011                                                                            
Highlights                                                                      
Strong customer growth underpins robust Group performance                       
Group revenue up 12.2% (9.9%*)                                                  
Group service revenue up 11.2% (8.7%*)                                          
Record net customer additions of 5.0 million in the quarter                     
Group customers up 27.3% to 52.9 million                                        
Demand for data services remains high                                           
Group data revenue growth of 23.8%                                              
41.2% increase in Group active data customers to 13.8 million                   
Strong commercial success in South Africa                                       
Revenue up 7.6%                                                                 
Service revenue up 5.6% (7.9% excluding the impact of MTRs)                     
Customers up 25.4% to 31.7 million, adding 2.8 million in the quarter           
Excellent momentum continues in International operations                        
Service revenue up 45.2% (24.8%*)                                               
Customers up 30.2% to 21.2 million, adding 2.2 million in the quarter           
2.7 million active M-Pesa customers in Tanzania                                 
Pieter Uys, Vodacom Group CEO commented:                                        
"This was a good quarter for Vodacom, with a record increase in our customers   
of five million pushing us past the 50 million customers milestone. Overall     
Group revenue increased 12% to R18 billion.                                     
The South African business defied the somewhat gloomy economic conditions and   
achieved a 25% increase in customers, ending the quarter at 32 million          
customers. More than nine billion voice minutes were carried over the three     
month period. The success of our summer campaigns, targeted promotions and      
very attractive handset deals boosted customer additions, particularly in the   
rural areas. The strong growth in customers and data usage helped offset the    
year to date reduction of 16% in both voice and data prices.                    
Our International operations maintained the positive momentum and accounted     
for more than 40% of the increase in our total customers.                       
Network investment continued to be a major focus with on-going upgrades to      
our transmission and radio access networks supporting the 41% increase in       
Group data customers. Vodacom now delivers data connectivity to nearly 14       
million people."                                                                
* Represents normalised growth at a constant currency.                          
All growth rates refer to the quarter compared to prior year unless stated      
otherwise.                                                                      
Operating review                                                                
Group                                                                           
Group service revenue for the quarter ended 31 December 2011 increased 11.2%    
(8.7%*) year on year and 7.8% (7.5%*) for the nine months. Growth was driven    
by a 27.3% increase in customers to 52.9 million and stronger voice revenue     
growth. Data revenue increased 23.8% to R2 082 million as active data           
customers grew 41.2% to 13.8 million. Equipment revenue was particularly        
strong, growing 19.4%, contributing to overall revenue growth of 12.2%          
(9.9%*).                                                                        
South Africa                                                                    
South Africa delivered a solid performance with service revenue growing 5.6%    
to R12 755 million (7.9% excluding the impact of cuts in mobile termination     
rates). Service revenue growth was boosted by strong net customer additions,    
higher voice revenue growth and good performance    in data and enterprise      
services.                                                                       
The quarter was characterised by attractive handset deals and summer            
promotions with 5.1 million gross connections, up 49.9% year on year.           
Customers increased 25.4% year on year to 31.7 million, a record net increase   
of 2.8 million in the quarter. Ten customers won R1 million each as part of     
our Millionaire Mofaya summer campaign, which saw       in excess of 58         
million entries. Total ARPU was down 14.6% to R140; largely due to lower        
interconnect rates and the higher prevalence of lower usage customers in the    
mix. We expect a seasonal increase in churn      in the coming quarters from    
the current low level.                                                          
Following our data price cuts in the previous quarter, data revenue growth      
slowed to 19.3% year on year to R1 929 million. The active data customers       
increased 31.5% to 11.4 million; a third of these customers are now buying      
data bundles compared to a quarter a year ago. Demand    for smartphones        
remains high, with 655 000 devices activated during    the quarter. We now      
have 4.8 million active smartphones on the network, which as of 31 December     
2011 accounted for 18.0% of all active devices.                                 
We continue to make substantial investments in the network, to enhance          
quality and support the growth in data traffic. Our radio access   network      
renewal initiative is now complete in Gauteng and we have commenced similar     
initiatives in Kwa-Zulu Natal, Limpopo, Free State   and North West             
provinces. This is expected to further improve network quality and              
operational efficiency.                                                         
International                                                                   
Service revenue increased 45.2% (24.8%*) to R2 905 million mainly driven by     
strong customer growth and the positive impact from foreign exchange            
translation. The International operations recorded customer growth of 30.2%     
to 21.2 million, adding 2.2 million customers in the quarter.                   
In Tanzania, customer growth of 34.1% was supported by promotional offerings    
and improved distribution. During the quarter pricing increased in the market   
after a long period of unsustainably low tariffs. Our capital investment in     
Mozambique, smarter pricing and a specific focus on distribution underpinned    
a 16.9% increase in customers. Despite uncertain political conditions during    
the quarter, the DRC delivered a good performance and also received a boost     
from    the regulated minimum price.                                            
Data revenue in the International operations increased by 135.4% (115.5%*) as   
the appetite for data and mobile financial services continues to grow. M-Pesa   
growth accelerated in Tanzania where we now have 2.7 million active customers   
representing 23.4% of the base. The M-Pesa system processed transactions in     
Tanzania worth more than US$400 million during the month of December alone. M-  
Pesa now accounts for 8.5% of Tanzania`s service revenue, compared to 3.1% a    
year ago.                                                                       
Outlook                                                                         
While we are encouraged by the strong revenue growth in the quarter, we         
remain focused on tackling the increased competition in all our geographies     
and also remain alert to fragile global economic conditions. Therefore our      
medium-term service revenue guidance of "low single digit" remains unchanged.   
The quarterly information has not been audited or reviewed by Vodacom`s         
external auditors.                                                              
Financial review for the quarters ended                                         
Revenue                                                                         
                     December    September    December   Year on    Quarterly   
year                       
Rm                    2011        2011         2010       % change   % change   
South Africa          15 135     13 881      14 072    7.6       9.0            
International         2 983      2 394       2 056     45.1      24.6           
Corporate and         (121)      (97)        (95)      (27.4)    (24.7)         
eliminations                                                                    
Revenue               17 997     16 178      16 033    12.2      11.2           
Service revenue                                                                 
December     September  December Year on    Quarterly       
                                                     year                       
Rm                   2011         2011       2010     % change   % change       
South Africa         12 755       11 947     12 075   5.6        6.8            
International        2 905        2 326      2 001    45.2       24.9           
Corporate and        (93)         (73)       (78)     (19.2)     (27.4)         
eliminations                                                                    
Service revenue      15 567       14 200     13 998   11.2       9.6            
Key indicators for the quarters ended                                           
South Africa key indicators                                                     
                     December September  December  Year on    Quarterly         
                                                   year                         
2011     2011       2010      % change   % change          
Customers             31 727   28 907     25 302    25.4       9.8              
(thousand)1                                                                     
Prepaid               26 189   23 468     20 310    28.9       11.6             
Contract              5 538    5 439      4 992     10.9       1.8              
Churn (%)2            30.7     44.6       32.7                                  
Prepaid               35.3     53.0       38.3                                  
Contract              10.1     8.9        10.3                                  
Traffic (millions     9 012    9 186      8 402     7.3        (1.9)            
of minutes)3                                                                    
Outgoing              6 741    7 050      6 307     6.9        (4.4)            
Incoming              2 271    2 136      2 095     8.4        6.3              
MOU per month4        99       108        114       (13.2)     (8.3)            
Prepaid               83       91         92        (9.8)      (8.8)            
Contract              171      181        202       (15.3)     (5.5)            
Total ARPU (rand      140      140        164       (14.6)     -                
per month)5                                                                     
Prepaid               80       77         93        (14.0)     3.9              
Contract              362      370        408       (11.3)     (2.2)            
Notes:                                                                          
1.   Customers are based on the total number of mobile customers registered     
    on Vodacom`s network, which have not been disconnected, including           
    inactive customers, at the end of the period indicated. Prepaid             
    customers inactive for three months were 14.2% (2010: 6.3%) at 31           
December 2011.                                                              
2.   Churn is calculated by dividing the annualised number of disconnections    
    during the period by the average monthly total reported mobile customers    
    during the period.                                                          
3.   Traffic comprises total traffic registered on Vodacom`s mobile network,    
    including bundled minutes, promotional minutes and outgoing                 
    international roaming calls, but excluding national roaming calls,          
    incoming international roaming calls and calls to free services.            
4.   Minutes of use (`MOU`) per month is calculated by dividing the average     
    monthly minutes (traffic) during the period by the average monthly total    
    reported mobile customers during the period.                                
5.   Total ARPU is calculated by dividing average monthly service revenue by    
the average monthly total reported mobile customers during the period.      
    Prepaid and contract ARPU only includes service revenue generated from      
    Vodacom customers.                                                          
International key indicators                                                    
December  September  December Year on   Quarterly        
                                                     year                       
                       2011      2011       2010     % change  % change         
Customers (thousand)1   21 200    18 990     16 288   30.2      11.6            
Tanzania                11 621    10 273     8 665    34.1      13.1            
DRC                      5 119    4 783      3 847    33.1      7.0             
Mozambique              3 451     2 990      2 953    16.9      15.4            
Lesotho                 1 009     944        823      22.6      6.9             
Churn (%)2                                                                      
Tanzania                37.7      35.2       41.5                               
DRC                     66.5      64.3       80.8                               
Mozambique              48.2      111.7      45.3                               
Lesotho                 24.3      24.5       24.6                               
MOU per month3                                                                  
Tanzania                51        56         58       (12.1)    (8.9)           
DRC                     42        47         74       (43.2)    (10.6)          
Mozambique              44        33         43       2.3       33.3            
Lesotho                 29        30         32       (9.4)     (3.3)           
Total ARPU (rand per                                                            
month)4                                                                         
Tanzania                23        20         20       15.0      15.0            
DRC                     38        37         32       18.8      2.7             
Mozambique              48        32         23       108.7     50.0            
Lesotho                 58        55         62       (6.5)     5.5             
Total ARPU (local                                                               
currency per month)4                                                            
Tanzania (TZS)          4 752     4 550      4 330    9.7       4.4             
DRC (USD)               4.7       5.1        4.7      -         (7.8)           
Mozambique (MZN)        158       122        115      37.4      29.5            
Notes:                                                                          
1.   Customers are based on the total number of mobile customers registered     
    on Vodacom`s network, which have not been disconnected, including           
inactive customers, as at the end of the period indicated. Prepaid          
    customers inactive for three months were 19.1% (2010: 19.7%) for            
    Tanzania, 21.6% (2010: 34.0%) for Mozambique and 21.3% (2010: 17.5%) for    
    Lesotho at 31 December 2011. DRC reports 90 day active customers.           
2.   Churn is calculated by dividing the annualised number of disconnections    
    during the period by the average monthly total reported mobile customers    
    during the period.                                                          
3.   Minutes of use (`MOU`) per month is calculated by dividing the average     
monthly minutes (traffic) during the period by the average monthly total    
    reported mobile customers during the period.                                
4.   Total ARPU is calculated by dividing average monthly service revenue by    
    the average monthly total reported mobile customers during the period.      
Historical key indicators for the quarters ended                                
Revenue                                                                         
               December  September   June                                       
Rm              2011      2011        2011                                      
South Africa    15 135    13 881      13 537                                    
International   2 983     2 394       2 119                                     
Corporate and   (121)     (97)        (87)                                      
eliminations                                                                    
Revenue         17 997    16 178      15 569                                    
                   March       December     September   June                    
Rm                  2011        2010         2010        2010                   
South Africa        13 602      14 072       13 130      12 567                 
International       2 138       2 056        2 080       1 922                  
Corporate and                                                                   
eliminations        (92)        (95)         (100)       (83)                   
Revenue             15 648      16 033       15 110      14 406                 
Service revenue                                                                 
                  December   September   June      March                        
Rm                 2011       2011        2011      2011                        
South Africa       12 755     11 947      11 558    11 863                      
International      2 905      2 326       2 064     2 081                       
Corporate and      (93)       (73)        (70)      (74)                        
eliminations                                                                    
Service revenue    15 567     14 200      13 552    13 870                      
December   September   June                                   
Rm                 2010       2010        2010                                  
South Africa       12 075     11 442      11 012                                
International      2 001      2 016       1 859                                 
Corporate and      (78)       (76)        (69)                                  
eliminations                                                                    
Service revenue    13 998     13 382      12 802                                
South Africa                                                                    
December   September  June     March                          
                  2011       2011       2011     2011                           
Customers          31 727                27 731                                 
(thousand)1                   28 907              26 535                        
Prepaid2           26 189     23 468     22 411   21 409                        
Contract           5 538      5 439      5 320    5 126                         
Churn (%)3         30.7       44.6       35.5     28.5                          
Prepaid2           35.3       53.0       41.9     33.0                          
Contract           10.1       8.9        8.5      9.7                           
Traffic (millions  9 012                 8 141                                  
of minutes)4                  9 186               8 108                         
Outgoing           6 741      7 050      6 079    6 060                         
Incoming           2 271      2 136      2 062    2 048                         
MOU per month5     99         108        100      104                           
Prepaid2           83         91         81       82                            
Contract           171        181        181      195                           
Total ARPU (rand   140        140        142      153                           
per month)6                                                                     
Prepaid2           80         77         79       85                            
Contract           362        370        369      387                           
December   September  June                                    
                  2010       2010       2010                                    
Customers          25 302                23 161                                 
(thousand)1                   23 873                                            
Prepaid2           20 310     19 074     18 489                                 
Contract           4 992      4 799      4 672                                  
Churn (%)3         32.7       35.9       87.2                                   
Prepaid2           38.3       42.5       105.0                                  
Contract           10.3       9.6        9.5                                    
Traffic (millions  8 402                 6 371                                  
of minutes)4                  7 352                                             
Outgoing           6 307      5 351      4 442                                  
Incoming           2 095      2 001      1 929                                  
MOU per month5     114        105        86                                     
Prepaid2           92         79         59                                     
Contract           202        207        205                                    
Total ARPU (rand   164        163        149                                    
per month)6                                                                     
Prepaid2           93         90         79                                     
Contract           408        411        411                                    
International                                                                   
                    December    September    June       March                   
                    2011        2011         2011       2011                    
Customers            21 200      18 990       17 686     16 957                 
(thousand)1                                                                     
Tanzania             11 621      10 273       9 260      8 861                  
DRC                  5 119       4 783        4 245      4 155                  
Mozambique            3 451      2 990        3 277      3 082                  
Lesotho              1 009       944          904        859                    
Churn (%)3                                                                      
Tanzania             37.7        35.2         43.5       51.1                   
DRC                  66.5        64.3         75.3       45.3                   
Mozambique           48.2        111.7        42.5       43.0                   
Lesotho              24.3        24.5         20.3       21.5                   
MOU per month 5                                                                 
Tanzania             51          56           54         53                     
DRC                  42          47           43         38                     
Mozambique           44          33           34         36                     
Lesotho              29          30           28         32                     
Total ARPU (rand per                                                            
month)6                                                                         
Tanzania             23          20           19         19                     
DRC                  38          37           33         34                     
Mozambique           48          32           24         22                     
Lesotho              58          55           54         55                     
Total ARPU (local                                                               
currency per month)6                                                            
Tanzania (TZS)       4 752       4 550        4 276      4 098                  
DRC (USD)            4.7         5.1          4.8        4.9                    
Mozambique (MZN)     158         122          106        102                    
                    December    September    June                               
                    2010        2010         2010                               
Customers            16 288      15 504       14 561                            
(thousand)1                                                                     
Tanzania             8 665       8 421        8 009                             
DRC                  3 847       3 638        3 419                             
Mozambique           2 953       2 676        2 411                             
Lesotho              823         769          722                               
Churn (%)3                                                                      
Tanzania             41.5        41.9         42.9                              
DRC                  80.8        91.1         77.5                              
Mozambique           45.3        65.3         76.9                              
Lesotho              24.6        20.2         17.2                              
MOU per month 5                                                                 
Tanzania             58          55           58                                
DRC                  74          77           56                                
Mozambique           43          49           29                                
Lesotho              32          33           31                                
Total ARPU (rand per                                                            
month)6                                                                         
Tanzania             20          21           22                                
DRC                  32          39           39                                
Mozambique           23          22           22                                
Lesotho              62          60           62                                
Total ARPU (local                                                               
currency per month)6                                                            
Tanzania (TZS)       4 330       4 393        4 127                             
DRC (USD)            4.7         5.3          5.2                               
Mozambique (MZN)     115         109          98                                
Notes:                                                                          
1.   Customers are based on the total number of mobile customers registered     
    on Vodacom`s network, which have not been disconnected, including           
    inactive customers, at the end of the period indicated.                     
2.   South Africa changed its disconnection policy for call-forward SIMs from   
13 months inactivity to seven months during the quarter ended 30 June       
    2010.                                                                       
3.   Churn is calculated by dividing the annualised number of disconnections    
    during the period by the average monthly total reported mobile customers    
during the period.                                                          
4.   Traffic comprises total traffic registered on Vodacom`s mobile network,    
    including bundled minutes, promotional minutes and outgoing                 
    international roaming calls, but excluding national roaming calls,          
incoming international roaming calls and calls to free services.            
5.   Minutes of use (`MOU`) per month is calculated by dividing the average     
    monthly minutes (traffic) during the period by the average monthly total    
    reported mobile customers during the period.                                
6.   Total ARPU is calculated by dividing average monthly service revenue by    
    the average monthly total reported mobile customers during the period.      
    Prepaid and contract ARPU only include service revenue generated from       
    Vodacom customers.                                                          
Revenue for the quarter ended 31 December 2011                                  
                                                 Yoy %         Inter-           
Rm                        South Africa            change        national        
Mobile voice              7 753                   4.3           1 440           
Mobile interconnect       1 611                   (9.4)         213             
Mobile messaging1         823                     6.5           75              
Mobile data1              1 929                   19.3          153             
Other service revenue2    639                     34.8          1 024           
Service revenue           12 755                  5.6           2 905           
Equipment revenue         2 208                   19.4          39              
Non-service revenue2      172                     17.0          39              
Revenue                   15 135                  7.6           2 983           
Corporate/                                    
Rm                   Yoy %         Elimina-                     Yoy %           
                    change        tions          Group         change           
Mobile voice         60.4          -              9 193         10.3            
Mobile interconnect  54.3          (32)           1 792         (5.0)           
Mobile messaging1    27.1          -              898           7.9             
Mobile data1         135.4         -              2 082         23.8            
Other service        21.8          (61)           1 602         26.5            
revenue2                                                                        
Service revenue      45.2          (93)           15 567        11.2            
Equipment revenue    39.3          (11)           2 236         19.4            
Non-service          44.4          (17)           194           19.8            
revenue2                                                                        
Revenue              45.1          (121)          17 997        12.2            
Notes:                                                                          
1.   In the prior year December quarter, we reclassified year-to-date revenue   
of R194 million relating to telemetry, from mobile messaging to mobile      
    data revenue of which R65 million related to the December quarter only.     
    Reclassified values for the quarter ended 31 December 2010: South           
    Africa: Mobile messaging R773 million; Mobile data R1 617 million;          
Group: Mobile messaging R832 million; Mobile data R1 682 million.           
2.   In the prior year December quarter, we reclassified year-to-date revenue   
    of R134 million relating to tower sharing revenue and returned debit        
    order handling fees, from non-service revenue to other service revenue      
of which R44 million related to the December quarter only. Reclassified     
    values for the quarter ended 31 December 2010: South Africa: Other          
    service revenue R474 million; Non-service revenue R147 million; Group:      
    Other service revenue R1 266 million; Non-service revenue R162 million.     
Average quarterly exchange rates                                                
        December    September   December    Year on year% Quarterly%            
        2011        2011        2010        change        change                
USD/ZAR  8.10        7.15        6.90        17.4          13.3                 
ZAR/MZN  3.32        3.86        5.12        (35.2)        (14.0)               
ZAR/TZS  208.36      226.02      215.19      (3.2)         (7.8)                
EUR/ZAR  10.92       10.09       9.37        16.5          8.2                  
Non-GAAP information                                                            
This trading statement contains certain non-GAAP financial information which    
has not been reviewed or reported on by the Group`s auditors. The Group`s       
management believes these measures provide valuable additional information in   
understanding the performance of the Group or the Group`s businesses because    
they provide measures used by the Group to assess performance. However, this    
additional information presented is not uniformly defined by all companies,     
including those in the Group`s industry. Accordingly, it may not be             
comparable with similarly titled measures and disclosures by other companies.   
Additionally, although these measures are important in the management of the    
business, they should not be viewed in isolation or as replacements for or      
alternatives to, but rather as complementary to the comparable GAAP measures.   
Trademarks                                                                      
Vodafone, the Vodafone logo, Vodafone Mobile Broadband, Vodafone WebBox,        
Vodafone Passport, Vodafone live!, Power to You, Vodacom, Vodacom M-Pesa,       
Vodacom Millionaires, Vodacom 4 Less and Vodacom Change the World are           
trademarks of Vodafone Group Plc (or have applications pending). The            
trademarks RIMRegistered and BlackBerryRegistered are owned by Research in      
Motion Limited and are registered in the US and may be pending or registered    
in other countries. JavaRegistered is a registered trademark of Oracle and/or   
its affiliates. Microsoft, Windows Mobile and ActiveSync are either             
registered trademarks or trademarks of Microsoft Corporation in the US and/or   
other countries. Google, Google Maps and Android are trademarks of Google       
Inc. Apple, iPhone and iPad are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the     
US and other countries. Other product and company names mentioned herein may    
be trademarks of their respective owners.                                       
Forward-looking statements                                                      
This trading statement which sets out the quarterly results for Vodacom Group   
Limited for the quarter ended 31 December 2011 contains `forward-looking        
statements`, which have not been reviewed or reported on by the Group`s         
auditors, with respect to the Group`s financial condition, results of           
operations and businesses and certain of the Group`s plans and objectives. In   
particular, such forward-looking statements include statements relating to:     
the Group`s future performance; future capital expenditures, acquisitions,      
divestitures, expenses, revenues, financial conditions, dividend policy and     
future prospects; business and management strategies relating to the            
expansion and growth of the Group; the effects of regulation of the Group`s     
businesses by governments in the countries in which it operates; the Group`s    
expectations as to the launch and roll out dates for products, services or      
technologies; expectations regarding the operating environment and market       
conditions; growth in customers and usage; and the rate of dividend growth by   
the Group.                                                                      
Forward-looking statements are sometimes, but not always, identified by their   
use of a date in the future or such words as `will`, `anticipates`, `aims`,     
`could`, `may`, `should`, `expects`, `believes`, `intends`, `plans` or          
`targets`. By their nature, forward-looking statements are inherently           
predictive, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate    
to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future, involve    
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other facts or factors which may     
cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Group, or its      
industry to be materially different from any results, performance or            
achievement expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Forward-   
looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are based on    
assumptions regarding the Group`s present and future business strategies and    
the environments in which it operates now and in the future.                    
www.vodacom.com                                                                 
Sponsor: UBS South Africa (Pty) Limited                                         
Debt sponsor: Absa Capital                                                      
Date: 08/02/2012 13:00:01 Produced by the JSE SENS Department.                  
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