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Tue 7 May 2002, 0:00 Sappi - Results For The Quarter And Half-year
Sappi Limited
The word for fine paper
(Registration number 1936/008963/06)
JSE Code: SAP
ISIN Code: ZAE 000006284
Results for the quarter and half-year ended March 2002
Sappi is the world's leading producer of coated fine paper.
Sappi's achievements are driven by:
- Concentrated focus on our core business
- A successful pulp integration strategy
- A culture of innovation in products and technology
- The development of strong, globally competitive brands
- World-class assets
- An unrelenting focus on efficiency and cost management
Highlights
- Headline EPS rise 86% from previous quarter
- European business improving
- Weak markets in North America
- Potlatch acquisition to be completed in May
Summary
                                     Quarter ended         Half-year ended
                                  March   December    March    March  March
                                  2002    2001        2001     2002   2001
Sales (US$ million)               871     832         1,104    1,703  2,219
Operating profit (US$ million)    105     65          121      170    264
EBITDA (US$ million)              186     148         210      334    447
Operating profit to sales (%)     12.1    7.8         11.0     10.0   11.9
EBITDA to sales (%)               21.4    17.8        19.0     19.6   20.1
Operating profit to average
net assets (%)                    15.1    8.8         13.6     11.5   14.7
EPS before exceptional
items (Headline) (US cents)       26      14          32       40     66
EPS (US cents)                    25      10          32       35     66
Return on equity (%)              17.8    6.3         18.6     11.3   19.6
Net debt (US$ million)            1,194   1,156       1,277    1,194  1,277
Comment
We had a good quarter in our European and Southern African businesses. Our
North American business, however, continued to be affected by low demand and
weaker paper prices.
Industry shipments of coated fine paper for the quarter improved by 5% in
Europe compared to a year earlier but declined by 6% in the USA. Shipments
in the USA were, however, slightly higher than in the December quarter. Our
sales volumes were 9% higher than the previous quarter and similar to a year
earlier after excluding the Mobile mill, which may indicate an improving
trend.
Average prices realised in Europe were stable compared to the prior quarter
but 4% down on last year in Euros (8% down in US Dollar terms). Average
prices in North America were down 2% from the previous quarter and were 9%
lower than a year earlier.
In view of improved market conditions, we curtailed production by 150,000
tons of pulp and paper worldwide compared to 250,000 tons in the first
quarter.
Operating profit to average net assets (RONA) improved to 15% as a result of
improved performance in Europe and South Africa, significantly exceeding our
cost of capital.
Net profit before exceptional items was US$60 million, 19% below last year
but importantly nearly double the previous quarter and ahead of our
expectations a quarter ago. Earnings per share before exceptional items were
26 US cents, 86% up on the previous quarter and 19% below a year ago. Basic
Earnings per share were 25 US cents.
Net finance costs for the quarter were down 48% from the prior quarter at
US$13 million.
The effective tax rate for the quarter was 30.5% largely as a result of a
one-off tax charge in Europe. The average rate for the full year is expected
to be around 28.5%.
Cash flow and debt
Cash flow (EBITDA) for the quarter continued to be strong at US$186 million
- a substantial improvement on the previous quarter.
Good cash management ensured that our balance sheet remained strong. Net
debt increased only slightly to US$1,194 million from US$1,156 million in
December, despite the dividend payment of US$60 million and tax payments of
US$58 million. Net debt to total capitalisation rose to 37% from 35% in
December.
Capital expenditure on fixed assets and plantations was US$42 million, which
as planned was below depreciation, amortisation and fellings.
Operating review for the quarter
sappi fine paper
                         Quarter ended
                     March 2002   March 2001  %
                     US$ million  US$ million change
Sales                734          909         (19)
Operating profit     62           62          -
Operating margin (%) 8            7           -
EBITDA               126          131         (4)
EBITDA Margin (%)    17           14          -
RONOA p.a. (%)       10           9           -
The order inflow in Europe improved in the quarter but in the USA demand
remained weak. Combined sales were 5% higher than the previous quarter
indicating a turn in the sector's fortunes, however they were still 11%
lower than last year after adjusting for the Mobile mill closure. To match
supply to the weak demand we continued to curtail production.
The outlook is better than three months ago as most commentators expect
advertising spending in our major markets to improve from the third calendar
quarter, which will lead to improved demand for coated fine paper.
Europe
The industry's order levels for coated fine paper for the quarter were 10%
higher than a year earlier but well below industry capacity. We had a good
quarter both in Europe and export markets with sales volumes increasing 8%
from a low base last quarter. We continued to curtail production. On average
prices realised in US Dollar terms were about 8% lower than a year earlier
but stable relative to the previous quarter. Price increases of about 3% -
5% have been announced throughout Europe for coated fine paper sheets and
are starting to have effect.
Low pulp prices and efficient operations resulted in reasonable margins,
which translated into a healthy 20% return on net operating assets.
                         Quarter ended
                     March 2002  March 2001  % change % change
                     US$ million US$ million (US$)    (Euro)
Sales                433         470         (8)      (4)
Operating profit     65          40          63       68
Operating margin (%) 15          9           -        -
EBITDA               101         78          30       35
EBITDA Margin (%)    23          17          -        -
RONOA p.a. (%)       20          11          -        -
North America
The business was impacted by continued weakness in the printing and
publishing markets. Excluding Mobile, sales were down 19% and the business
continued to take curtailment to match supply and demand. Prices remained
relatively stable in commercial sheets; however, the web market has seen
continued price erosion.
End-user and merchant inventories are reported to be at low levels but
industry-wide mill inventories of coated fine paper are high. Shipments from
all North American mills, including our own, continue to be affected by
imports from Europe and Asia.
                            Quarter ended
                     March 2002   March 2001  %
                     US$ million  US$ million change
Sales                251          384         (35)
Operating profit     (10)         13          -
Operating margin (%) -            3           -
EBITDA               15           43          (65)
EBITDA Margin (%)    6            11          -
RONOA p.a. (%)       -            4           -
Fine Paper SA
The business performed well with strong demand for its products locally and
in the export markets. As a result of the weakness of the Rand, imported
products are increasingly being replaced by locally produced paper.
Merchants' inventories remain relatively low and our order books have
lengthened. Prices were 11% higher than last year in Rand terms; however, as
a result of the strong Dollar they were lower in Dollar terms.
Return on net operating assets was a strong 34%.
                          Quarter ended
                     March 2002   March 2001  %
                     US$ million  US$ million change
Sales                50           55          (9)
Operating profit     7            9           (22)
Operating margin (%) 14           16          -
EBITDA               10           10          -
EBITDA Margin (%)    20           18          -
RONOA p.a. (%)       34           36          -
Forest products
Local demand for all pulp and paper products was strong during the quarter,
with packaging paper and newsprint machines fully booked. Price increases
have been implemented locally, but prices remain below import parity leading
to strong demand for local producers. Demand for dissolving pulp remained
soft, but sales volumes have improved on the last quarter and prices are
stable at very low levels. We continue to curtail pulp output to match
demand.
The restructuring of Usutu mill has been completed successfully, and the
business is now viable at bottom-of-cycle prices. The mill returned
satisfactory operating profits for the quarter.
Operating margins and return on net assets were at pleasing levels but
operating profits in Dollar terms still lag behind the previous year because
of low pulp sales volumes and prices.
World pulp inventories are relatively low and pulp prices appear to have
lifted off the bottom, which has improved the pricing outlook for the Forest
Products business. We expect modest increases in volumes but will continue
to control our inventories by matching production to customer demand.
                        Quarter ended
                     March 2002  March 2001  % change % change
                     US$ million US$ million (US$)    (Rand)
Sales                137         195         (30)     3
Operating profit     42          60          (30)     3
Operating margin (%) 31          31          -        -
EBITDA               59          80          (26)     8
EBITDA Margin (%)    43          41          -        -
RONOA p.a. (%)       25          27          -        -
Acquisition update
On 18 March 2002, we announced our intention to acquire Potlatch
Corporation's coated fine paper business for US$480 million in cash. The
transaction is expected to close during May 2002.
We continue to expect the transaction to be accretive this year and to add
at least US 20 cents to earnings in a full year from 2003 as a result of the
US$120 million of synergies identified.
Outlook
There is considerable scope for improvement in our global order levels,
particularly in the USA. Consumer inventories for pulp and paper are
generally low and economic activity in the major economies is expected to
start improving in the next quarter. There are an increasing number of
reports in the USA of increased advertising spend in the third calendar
quarter, which if correct, should translate into improved demand for coated
fine paper. As a result pressure on prices is easing. Coated fine paper
prices are already increasing modestly in Europe. The recent slight upturn
in pulp prices is another indication of improved conditions.
We continue to manage inventories to target levels and have the capacity to
respond rapidly to increases in demand as they occur.
For the balance of this year we expect to see a slowly improving trend in
quarterly earnings per share provided there are no major shocks in world
economies.
On behalf of the Board
E van As         D G Wilson
Director         Director
6 May 2002
Sappi Limited
(Registration number 1936/008963/06)
JSE Code: SAP
ISIN Code: ZAE 000006284
forward-looking statements
Certain statements in this release that are neither reported financial
results nor other historical information, are forward-looking statements,
including but not limited to statements that are predictions of or indicate
future earnings, savings, synergies, events, trends, plans or objectives.
Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their
nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and
can be affected by other factors, that could cause actual results and
company plans and objectives to differ materially from those expressed or
implied in the forward-looking statements (or from past results). Such
risks, uncertainties and factors include, but are not limited to the highly
cyclical nature of the pulp and paper industry (and the factors that
contribute to such cyclicality, such as levels of demand, production
capacity, production and pricing), adverse changes in the markets for the
group's products, consequences of substantial leverage, changing regulatory
requirements, unanticipated production disruptions, economic and political
conditions in international markets, the impact of investments, acquisitions
and dispositions (including related financing), any delays, unexpected costs
or other problems experienced with integrating acquisitions and achieving
expected savings and synergies and currency fluctuations. The company
undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-
looking statements, whether to reflect new information or future events or
circumstances or otherwise.
Definitions
Debt/total capitalisation - current and non-current interest bearing
borrowings, and bank overdrafts (net of cash, cash equivalents and short-
term deposits), divided by shareholders' equity plus minority interest, non-
current liabilities, current interest-bearing borrowings and overdraft
EBITDA - earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and
fellings (before non-trading profit/loss)
EBITDA Margin - EBITDA divided by sales
Fellings - the amount charged against the income statement representing the
standing cost of the plantations harvested
Net asset value - shareholder's equity plus net deferred tax
Net assets - total assets less current liabilities
NOPAT - net operating profit after current tax
ROE - return on average equity. Net profit divided by average shareholder's
equity
RONA - operating profit divided by average net assets
RONOA - operating profit divided by net operating assets, which are total
assets (excluding deferred taxation and cash) less current liabilities
(excluding interest-bearing borrowings and bank overdraft)
Financial results
for the second quarter and half-year
ended March 2002
Group income statement
                          Unaudited  Unaudited        Unaudited Unaudited
                          Quarter    Quarter          Half-year Half-year
                          Ended      ended            ended     ended
                            March     March 2001          March    March
                           2002                        2002     2001
                            US$       US$         %       US$      US$     %
                           million   million     change  million  million chang
Sales                       871       1,104       (21.1)  1,703    2,219   (23.
Cost of sales               690       891                 1,379    1,773
Gross profit                181       213         (15.0)  324      446     (27.
Selling, general and
  administrative expenses   76        92                  154      182
Operating profit            105       121         (13.2)  170      264     (35.
Non-trading loss            7         2                   19       3
Net finance costs           13        16                  38       40
Net paid*                   23        26                  55       58
Capitalised                 (10)      (10)                (17)     (18)
Profit before tax           85        103                 113      221
Taxation - current          25        20                  16       43
         - deferred         1         8                   16       21
Net profit                  59        75          (21.3)  81       157     (48.
EBITDA                      186       210         (11.4)  334      447     (25.
Basic earnings per share
  (US cents)                25        32                  35       66
Earnings before
  exceptional items
(Headline earnings)
  per share (US cents)      26        32                  40       66
Weighted average number
  of shares in
  issue (millions)          230.6     231.7               230.2    235.4
Diluted earnings per share
  (US cents)                25        32                  35       66
Diluted earnings before
  exceptional items
(Headline earnings)
  per share (US cents)      26        31                  39       65
Weighted average number
  of shares on fully
diluted basis (millions)    234.3     237.0               233.6    240.6
Calculation of earnings
  before exceptional
  items (Headline)
  net of tax
Net profit                  59        75                  81       157
Loss on disposal of
  business and
  fixed assets              1         1                   1        1
Mill closure costs          1         -                   5        -
Debt restructuring costs    -         -                   6        -
Decrease in provisions      (1)       (2)                 (2)      (3)
Earnings before exceptional
  items (Headline)          60        74                  91       155
* Includes foreign exchange losses of US$1 million (March 2001: US$5 million
gain) for the quarter and US$8 million (March 2001: US$4 million gain) for
the half-year end.
Group balance sheet
                                     Unaudited   Audited
                                     March 2002  September 2001
                                     US$ million US$ million
ASSETS
Non-current assets                   3,064       3,346
Property, plant and equipment        2,661       2,890
Plantations                          268         324
Deferred taxation                    -           4
Other non-current assets             135         128
Current assets                       866         1,160
Cash and cash equivalents            126         445
Trade and other receivables          244         202
Inventories                          496         513
Total assets                         3,930       4,506
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Shareholders' equity
Ordinary shareholders' interest      1,364       1,503
Minority interest                    2           3
Non-current liabilities              1,420       1,640
Interest bearing borrowings          845         1,014
Deferred taxation                    360         385
Other non-current liabilities        215         241
Current liabilities                  1,144       1,360
Interest bearing borrowings
and bank overdraft                   475         559
Other current liabilities            669         801
Total equity and liabilities         3,930       4,506
Number of shares in issue (millions) 230.6       229.5
Net debt (US$ million)               1,194       1,128
Net debt to total capitalisation (%) 36.6        30.4
Net asset value per share (US cents) 748         821
Group cash flow statement
                     Unaudited      Unaudited       Unaudited   Unaudited
                     Quarter ended  Quarter ended   Half-year   Half-year
                     March          March           ended       ended
                     2002           2001            March 2002  March 2001
                     US$ million    US$ million     US$ million US$ million
Cash generated by    183            202             313         433
operations
Movement in working  (31)           (43)            (131)       (123)
capital
Net finance costs    (23)           (26)            (55)        (58)
Taxation paid        (58)           (8)             (59)        (9)
Dividends paid       (60)           (60)            (60)        (60)
Cash retained from
operating activities 11             65              8           183
Cash effects of      (43)           (43)            (106)       (137)
investing activities
                     (32)           22              (98)        46
Cash effects of      (90)           (39)            (205)       (148)
financing activities
Net movement in cash (122)          (17)            (303)       (102)
and
cash equivalents
Group statement of changes
in shareholders' equity
                                      Unaudited       Unaudited
                                      Half-year ended Half-year ended
                                      March           March
                                      2002            2001
                                      US$ million     US$ million
Balance - beginning of year           1,503           1,618
Net profit                            81              157
Foreign currency translation reserve  (174)           (64)
Revaluation of derivative instruments 11              -
Dividends declared
- US$0.26 (2001: US$0.25) per share   (60)            (60)
Net transfers to share purchase trust
(share buybacks)                      3               (67)
Balance - end of period               1,364           1,584
Notes to the group results
1. Basis of preparation
The group results have been prepared in conformity with South African
Statements of Generally Accepted Accounting Practice. The same accounting
policies have been followed as in the annual financial statements for
September 2001.
The financial results for the quarter have been reviewed by the group's
auditors,
Deloitte & Touche. Their report is available for inspection at the company's
registered offices.
                       Unaudited      Unaudited     Unaudited    Unaudited
                       Quarter ended  Quarter ended Half-year    Half-year
                       March          March         ended        ended
                       2002           2001          March 2002   March 2001
                       US$ million    US$ million   US$ million  US$ million
2. Operating profit
Included in operating
profit are:
Depreciation           72             76            144          156
Fellings               5              8             12           16
Amortisation           4              5             8            11
                       81             89            164          183
3. Capital expenditure
Fixed assets                                        99           137
Plantations                                         10           14
                                                    109          151
                                                    Unaudited    Audited
                                                    March        September
                                                    2002         2001
                                                    US$ million  US$ million
4. Capital commitments
Contracted but not                                  38           78
provided
Approved but not                                    100          109
contracted
                                                    138          187
5. Contingent
liabilities
Guarantees and                                      73           79
suretyships
Other contingent                                    19           27
liabilities
Regional information
                            Unaudited  Unaudited     Unaudited  Unaudited
                           Quarter     Quarter       Half-year  Half-year
                           Ended       ended         ended      ended
                              March 2002 March    %       March     March    %
                                      2001            2002      2001
                              US$        US$       change US$       US$      Ch
                            million    million         million   million
Sales - Metric
tons (000's)
Fine Paper -       North      234        326      (28.2)  452       654      (3
                  America
                   Europe     559        557      0.4     1,077     1,120    (3
                   Southern   80         67       19.4    153       138      10
                  Africa
                   Total      873        950      (8.1)   1,682     1,912    (1
Forest Products               621        609      2.0     1,181     1,230    (4
Total                         1,494      1,559    (4.2)   2,863     3,142    (8
Sales
Fine Paper -       North      251        384      (34.6)  490       779      (3
                  America
                   Europe     433        470      (7.9)   843       936      (9
                   Southern   50         55       (9.1)   98        112      (1
                  Africa
                   Total      734        909      (19.3)  1,431     1,827    (2
Forest Products               137        195      (29.7)  272       392      (3
Total                         871        1,104    (21.1)  1,703     2,219    (2
Operating profit
Fine Paper -       North      (10)       13       -       (20)      31       -
                  America
                   Europe     65         40       62.5    104       94       10
                   Southern   7          9        (22.2)  14        15       (6
                  Africa
                   Total      62         62       -       98        140      (3
Forest Products               42         60       (30.0)  64        122      (4
Corporate                     1          (1)      -       8         2        30
Total                         105        121      (13.2)  170       264      (3
Earnings before
interest, tax,
depreciation and
amortisation
charges *
Fine Paper -        North     15         43       (65.1)  30        89       (6
                   America
                    Europe    101        78       29.5    178       170      4.
                    Southern  10         10       -       19        19       -
                   Africa
                    Total     126        131      (3.8)   227       278      (1
Forest Products               59         80       (26.3)  99        167      (4
Corporate                     1          (1)      -       8         2        30
Total                         186        210      (11.4)  334       447      (2
Net operating
assets
Fine Paper -        North     1,042      1,252    (16.8)  1,042     1,252    (1
                   America
                    Europe    1,312      1,362    (3.7)   1,312     1,362    (3
                    Southern  85         97       (12.4)  85        97       (1
                   Africa
                    Total     2,439      2,711    (10.0)  2,439     2,711    (1
Forest Products               691        860      (19.7)  691       860      (1
Corporate                     5          (13)     -       5         (13)     -
Total                         3,135      3,558    (11.9)  3,135     3,558    (1
* before non-trading loss
Summary Rand convenience translation
                         Unaudited Unaudited         Unaudited Unaudited
                         Quarter   Quarter     %     Half-year Half-year   %
                         Ended     ended      Change ended     ended  Change
                          March 2002  March 2001         March    March
                                                     2002     2001
Sales (ZAR million)       9,977       8,636       15.5   18,033   17,103    5.4
Operating profit (ZAR     1,203       947         27.1   1,800    2,035     (11
million)
Profit after taxation
  (ZAR million)           676         587         15.2   858      1,210     (29
EBITDA (ZAR million)      2,131       1,643       29.7   3,537    3,445     2.7
Operating profit to sales 12.1        11.0               10.0     11.9
(%)
EBITDA to sales (%)       21.4        19.0               19.6     20.1
Operating profit to
average
  net assets (%)          14.9        13.7               12.1     14.9
EPS before exceptional
items
  (Headline) (SA cents)   298         250         19.2   424      508       (16
Basic EPS (SA cents)      286         253         13.2   371      506       (26
EBITDA per share (SA      924         709         30.3   1,536    1,464     4.9
cents)
Net debt (ZAR million)                                   13,504   10,226    32.
Net debt to total
  capitalisation (%)                                     36.6     33.8
Cash generated by
operations
  (ZAR million)           2,096       1,580       32.7   3,314    3,337     (0.
Cash retained from
operating
  activities (ZAR         126         508                85       1,410
million)
Net movement in cash and
  cash equivalents
  (ZAR million)           (1,397)     (133)              (3,208)  (786)
Exchange rates:
Period end rate: US$1 =   11.3100     8.0075             11.3100  8.0075
ZAR
Average rate: US$1 = ZAR  11.4547     7.8224             10.5887  7.7076
Period end rate: US$1 =   1.1463      1.1348             1.1463   1.1348
EUR
Average rate: US$1 = EUR  1.1429      1.0968             1.1307   1.1295
This report is available on the Sappi website -
www.sappi.com
Other interested parties can obtain printed
copies of this report from:
South Africa:
Computershare Services Limited,
8th Floor, 11 Diagonal Street, Johannesburg, 2001
PO Box 1053, Johannesburg, 2000. Tel: +27 (0) 11 370-5000
United Kingdom:
Capita IRG plc, Bourne House, 34 Beckenham Road,
Beckenham, Kent, BR3 4TU, DX 91750, Beckenham West.
Tel: +44 (0) 208 639-2157.
United States ADR Depositary:
Bank of New York, ADR Department,
101 Barclay Street, New York, NY 10286
Tel: +1 212 815-5800.

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