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Mon 3 Jun 2002, 0:00 Alexander Forbes Limited Year End Results To 31st
Alexander Forbes Limited year end results to 31st March 2002                    
Alexander Forbes Limited                                                        
Audited results for the year ended 31 March 2002                                
*    Headline EPS +49%                                                          
*    Core headline eps +31%                                                     
*    Distribution to shareholders +30%                                          
*    Revenue from operations +38%                                               
Review of operations                                                            
Overview                                                                        
Alexander Forbes has met its objective of delivering superior returns to        
shareholders with headline earnings per share increasing by 49% to 185          
cents. This builds on an impressive growth record since listing in 1996 with    
compound growth in headline earnings per share of 38% per annum over the        
past five years.                                                                
Operational review                                                              
The continued high revenue growth and profitability has been achieved           
through a combination of organic growth in our core Financial Services and      
Risk Services businesses in South Africa and the United Kingdom, the            
benefits of acquisitions made in the previous year and the effect of the        
Rand devaluation on hard currency earnings.                                     
Excluding acquisitions and disposals, the underlying growth in revenue from     
operations is 24% (2001: 21%). This represents significant real growth given    
the low levels of inflation prevailing in our main markets.                     
Operational interest income comprises interest income attributable to the       
insurance broking operations of Risk Services businesses. The low year-on-      
year increase in operational interest income results from the lower interest    
rates prevailing in the current year. Despite the low increase in               
operational interest income and a net trading loss in the Latin America         
region, the group has maintained its record of continuously improving           
margins with the trading profit margin improving from 20% to 21%.               
Consequently, profit growth exceeded revenue growth, with trading profits       
increasing by 46% to R884 million.                                              
Segmental results                                                               
Our African (principally South African) operations increased revenue and        
trading profits by 17% and 41% respectively. The organic growth in revenue      
is 15%.                                                                         
-  Financial Services Africa recorded revenue growth of 8% in difficult         
market conditions. Excluding the NBC Consultants & Actuaries disposal in the    
previous year, the organic growth in revenue is 10%. Profit growth of 21%       
significantly exceeded revenue growth, resulting from increased efficiencies    
and tight expense control.                                                      
-  Listed subsidiary, Investment Solutions, again produced excellent results    
with core headline earnings per share increasing 43%.                           
-  Risk Services Africa, which includes retail and reinsurance risk broking,    
Guardrisk and Alexander Forbes Insurance, built on its strong performance in    
the previous year with revenue and trading profits increasing 21% and 70%       
respectively. There was a significant improvement in the profitability of       
the Personal Lines broking business in the second half of the year.             
Our European (principally United Kingdom) operations increased revenue and      
trading profits by 63% and 68% respectively. These results were driven by a     
number of factors including the significant hardening of insurance markets,     
the benefits of prior year acquisitions and the effect of the Rand              
devaluation on sterling earnings. The organic growth in revenue is 37%.         
Revenue and trading profits increased by 25% and 29% respectively in            
sterling terms.                                                                 
-  Financial Services UK recorded revenue growth of 52% despite the slower      
than expected development of the UK stakeholder pensions market. Profit         
growth outstripped revenue growth.                                              
-  Direct Marketing produced good results given the difficult market            
conditions which prevailed for much of the year. Advertising response levels    
improved in the period following the UK general election. Revenue and           
trading profits increased 13% and 8% respectively.                              
-  Risk Services UK increased revenue and trading profits by 95% and 96%        
respectively. Excluding acquisitions, the organic revenue growth is 55%. The    
regional retail broking offices performed well with significant new business    
gains in a number of offices. The wholesale and specialist insurance broking    
divisions had an excellent year. The London-based retail broking division       
had a challenging year during which acquired businesses were integrated into    
the group`s structures. The integration costs have been absorbed in the         
current year`s results.                                                         
Asia produced a strong trading result despite the generally flat economic       
conditions in the region. Strong performances were recorded in Hong Kong,       
Singapore and Thailand.                                                         
The Latin American region had a disappointing year primarily as a result of     
the economic collapse in Argentina where we had operated a significant          
direct marketing, consumer business. This business has been restructured        
with a significant reduction in headcount and is expected to trade              
profitably in the next financial year provided the economy does not further     
deteriorate. Our Mexican operations continued to grow and in November 2001      
we purchased Bufete de Consultoria Actuarial, a leading actuarial and           
consulting partnership. This acquisition further expands our Financial          
Services business.                                                              
Profit before associates                                                        
Other interest income net of finance costs declined by R74 million as a         
result of the decline in interest rates and a full year of financing costs      
being incurred in respect of the GBP100 million exchangeable bonds issued in    
September 2000. After taking full account of the financing costs of             
acquisitions, profit before associates increased 34% to R820 million.           
Associates                                                                      
The group`s share of pre-tax profits of associates decreased 10% to R61         
million. This resulted from start up losses incurred by National Britannia      
and a decline in the profits of Thebe Risk & Benefits. The group`s share of     
start up losses of National Britannia amounted to R9 million following          
delays in the roll-out of their web-based interactive risk management           
system. Medscheme produced another solid performance with the group`s share     
of pre-tax headline profits increasing 15% to R40 million.                      
Earnings per share                                                              
Headline earnings per share increased 49% to 185 cents per share. Core          
headline earnings are calculated by deducting the unrealised currency gain      
classified as a non-trading item, and the related taxation charge, from         
headline earnings. Core headline earnings per share increased 31% to 153,2      
cents.                                                                          
Basic earnings per share increased 28% to 160,4 cents per share. This is        
substantially lower than the 49% increase in headline earnings per share as     
a result of the R66 million profit recorded in the previous financial year      
in respect of the disposal of NBC Consultants & Actuaries and the phasing in    
of goodwill amortisation. Prior to 1 April 2000 all goodwill balances were      
written off directly against share premium and reserves.                        
Distribution to shareholders                                                    
The recommended distribution to shareholders totals 61 cents per share,         
representing a 30% increase over the dividend paid in the previous year.        
Cover has been maintained at 2,5 times based on core headline earnings per      
share.                                                                          
Succession planning                                                             
Rael Gordon, the former chief executive of Alexander Forbes` subsidiary,        
Investment Solutions, transferred to Alexander Forbes on 1 April 2002. He       
succeeds Graeme Kerrigan as group chief executive on 1 January 2003 and will    
be based in London from August 2002.                                            
Graeme Kerrigan retires from his position as group chief executive on 31        
December 2002 and will succeed Paul Heinamann as non-executive chairman of      
Alexander Forbes. Paul Heinamann will continue to serve on the board. Leon      
Lewis has accepted a consulting role in the direct marketing business in the    
United Kingdom and, consequently, will not be joining the Alexander Forbes      
board at this time as a non-executive director.                                 
Prospects                                                                       
The year under review has been a period of consolidation of acquisitions        
made in the previous financial year. All acquisitions have been fully           
integrated into the group and the associated costs have been absorbed in the    
current year`s results. The group is now well positioned for further            
international expansion.                                                        
In January 2002, the group acquired options to purchase 80% of Lane Clark &     
Peacock (LCP), a highly respected and successful actuarial and consulting       
partnership in the UK. We intend exercising our first option for 60% later      
this month and have a further option to acquire an additional 20% of LCP in     
2005. This acquisition is strategically important to the group and offers       
further expansion opportunities.                                                
The board expects satisfactory real growth in core headline earnings per        
share in the forthcoming year.                                                  
For and on behalf of the board                                                  
PL Heinamann                                                                    
Chairman                                                                        
GW Kerrigan                                                                     
Group chief executive                                                           
31 March            31 March            
                                        2002      %         2001                
                                        Rm        increase  Rm                  
Group income statement                                                          
Revenue from operations                 4 239     38        3 070               
Other revenue                           18                  28                  
Total revenue                           4 257               3 098               
Operating expenses                      (3 475)             (2 592)             
Operating profit                        782       55        506                 
Operational interest income             102                 98                  
Trading profit                          884       46        604                 
Other interest income                                                           
Note 2    (64)                10                  
Profit before associates                820       34        614                 
Share of profits of associates          61                  68                  
Profit before non-trading items         881       29        682                 
Headline adjusting items                (90)                1                   
Other non-trading items                                                         
                              Note 3    157                 35                  
Profit before taxation                  948       32        718                 
Taxation                                (315)               (225)               
Profit after taxation                   633       28        493                 
Outside shareholders` interest          (78)                (65)                
Attributable profits                    555       30        428                 
Headline adjusting items                                                        
(net of minority interests and                                                  
taxation):                                                                      
- Profit on disposal of interests       -                   (63)                
- Goodwill amortisation                 84                  47                  
- Other                                 1                   12                  
Attributable headline profits           640       51        424                 
Headline earnings per share (cents)     185,0     49        124,3               
Core headline earnings per share                                                
(cents)                                 153,2     31        117,2               
Earnings per share (cents)              160,4     28        125,5               
Diluted earnings per share                                                      
(cents)                     Note 4     154,2     28        120,6               
Distribution per share (cents)          61,0      30        47,0                
Number of shares (millions)                                                     
- issued                                347                 344                 
- weighted average                      346                 341                 
Group balance sheet                                                             
Ordinary shareholders` funds                                                    
- Before goodwill effects               2 448     2         028                 
- Goodwill amortisation                 (1 677)             (1 593)             
Total shareholders` funds               771                 435                 
Outside shareholders` funds             222                 146                 
Total shareholders` funds               993                 581                 
Long-term liabilities - interest                                                
bearing                                 2 140               1 558               
- non-interest bearing                  13                  125                 
Provisions for post-retirement                                                  
benefits                                285                 210                 
Deferred tax                            29                  (29)                
Capital employed                        3 460               2 445               
Policyholders` and cell                                                         
owners` interests in insurance                                                  
subsidiaries                                                                    
Assets                                  43 429              34 547              
Liabilities                             (43 429)            (34 547)            
Fixed assets                            231                 201                 
Goodwill                                1 315               965                 
Associates                                                                      
                             Note 5     439                 231                 
Investments and loans receivable        853                 581                 
Current assets                                                                  
Cash and cash equivalents               3 834               2 686               
Other interest bearing receivables      133                 95                  
Non-interest bearing receivables        3 020               1 874               
                                        6 987               4 655               
Current liabilities                                                             
Interest bearing liabilities            701                 498                 
Non-interest bearing liabilities        5 541               3 579               
Provisions for liabilities and                                                  
charges                                 123                 111                 
                                        6 365               4 188               
Net current assets                      622                 467                 
Employment of capital                   3 460               2 445               
Group cash flow statement                                                       
Cash from operating activities                                                  
Cash flow from operations               1 123               38   811            
Movement in insurance balances          (37)                141                 
Taxation paid                           (240)               (125)               
Dividends paid                          (99)                (105)               
Net cash inflow from operating                                                  
activities                              747                 722                 
Cash invested                                                                   
Subsidiaries and associates  -                                                  
acquired                                (244)               (1 056)             
 - sold                                 -                   104                 
Net investments and loans receivable    (299)               29                  
Net fixed assets acquired               (117)               (67)                
Net cash outflow from investing                                                 
activities                              (660)               (990)               
Cash from financing                                                             
Net proceeds of share and bonds                                                 
issues                                  32                  1 063               
Net increase in interest bearing                                                
payables                                104                 342                 
Dividends paid to outside                                                       
shareholders                            (14)                (12)                
Net cash inflow from financing                                                  
activities                              122                 1 393               
Net increase in cash and cash                                                   
equivalents                             209                 1 125               
Cash and cash equivalents at                                                    
beginning of year                       2 686               1 118               
Cash balances of subsidiaries                                                   
acquired                                11                  281                 
Foreign subsidiaries` translation                                               
adjustment                              928                 162                 
Cash and cash equivalents at                                                    
end of year                             3 834               2 686               
Statement of changes in equity                                                  
                                   Share     Share                              
                                   capital   premium   Reserves  Total          
Rm        Rm        Rm        Rm             
At 31 March 2000                                                                
As previously reported             3         5         159       167            
Application of new accounting                                                   
statements                                                                      
(refer note 1)                                                                  
- AC107                            -         -         77        77             
- AC116                            -         -         (139)     (139)          
As restated                        3         5         97        105            
Share issues and equity                                                         
component of                                                                    
exchangeable bonds                 -         73        -         73             
Foreign subsidiaries                                                            
translation adjustment             -         -         (32)      (32)           
Attributable profits               -         -         428       428            
Dividends                          -         -         (139)     (139)          
At 31 March 2001                   3         78        354       435            
Share issues                       -         32        -         32             
Foreign subsidiaries                                                            
translation adjustment             -         -         (152)     (152)          
Attributable profits               -         -         555       555            
Dividends                          -         -         (99)      (99)           
At 31 March 2002                   3         110       658       771            
Group segmental analysis                                                        
31 March                 31 March       
                                        2002      %              2001           
                                        Rm        increase       Rm             
Revenue from operations                 4 239     38             3 070          
Africa                             1 790     17             1 531          
     - Financial Services               739       8              682            
     - Investment Solutions             400       29             311            
     - Risk Services                    651       21             538            
Europe                             2 130     63             1 304          
     - Financial Services               475       52             313            
     - Direct Marketing                 380       13             337            
     - Risk Services                    1 275     95             654            
Asia                               94        49             63             
     Latin America                      225       31             172            
Trading profit                          884       46             604            
     Africa                             462       41             328            
- Financial Services               181       21             150            
     - Investment Solutions             143       47             97             
     - Risk Services                    138       70             81             
     Europe                             420       68             250            
- Financial Services               61        259            17             
     - Direct Marketing                 120       8              111            
     - Risk Services                    239       96             122            
     Asia                               20        150            8              
Latin America                      (18)      (200)          18             
Notes to the financial statements                                               
1  basis of accounting                                                          
The financial information has been prepared on the historical cost basis in     
accordance with South African Statements of Generally Accepted Accounting       
Practice. The accounting policies used in preparing the financial               
information are consistent with those of the previous year, except for          
changes resulting from the mandatory application of two new accounting          
statements. These are as follows:                                               
* AC107, "Events after the balance sheet date", which requires dividend         
payments and the related STC expense to be recognised only when declared.       
Previously dividend payments were recognised in the period to which the         
distribution related. The change in accounting policy resulted in a R4          
million decrease in the taxation expense for the previous financial year.       
The aggregate restatement of opening reserves is reflected in the Statement     
of Changes in Equity.                                                           
* AC116, "Employee Benefits", which prescribes the actuarial valuation basis    
to be adopted when measuring retirement benefit liabilities for accounting      
purposes. It requires provision to be made for any deficit in funded            
retirement schemes. It also requires provision to be made for all unfunded      
pre- and post-retirement employee benefits previously accounted for on a pay-   
as-you-go basis. The change in accounting policy did not affect the results     
for the previous financial year. The aggregate restatement of opening           
reserves is reflected in the Statement of Changes in Equity and includes the    
following:                                                                      
* R95 million in respect of  a deficit in the closed UK pension fund            
* R61 million in respect of unfunded post-retirement benefits, mainly           
medical benefits                                                                
* R43 million in respect of accrued employee leave                              
* Deferred taxation relief on the above items at the standard corporate tax     
rate of 30%.                                                                    
The income statements and balance sheets of foreign subsidiaries have been      
translated to Rands at the following R:GBP exchange rates:                      
Weighted average rate                   14,3      11,0                          
Closing rate                            16,2      11,5                          
                                        31 March       31 March                 
2002           2001                     
                                        Rm             Rm                       
2  other interest income                                                        
Interest and dividends received                                                 
Vendor loan notes                     29             14                       
  Loan swap deposit                     36             36                       
  Exchangeable bonds -                                                          
unutilised proceeds                     8              18                       
Other                                 57             50                       
                                        130            118                      
Interest paid                                                                   
  Collateral deposits -                                                         
vendor loan notes                       (26)           (13)                     
  Loan swap liability                   (36)           (36)                     
  Exchangeable bonds -                                                          
financing acquisitions                  (117)          (29)                     
Exchangeable bonds -                                                          
unutilised proceeds                     (12)           (28)                     
  Other                                 (3)            (2)                      
                                        (64)           10                       
3  other non-trading items                                                      
Other non-trading items comprise an unrealised currency gain of R157 million    
(2001: R35 million) in respect of a loan swap arrangement.                      
4  calculation of diluted earnings per share                                    
Diluted earnings per share is determined by adjusting the relevant earnings     
per share calculation as follows:                                               
-  Increasing earnings by R90 million in respect of the interest paid on the    
exchangeable bonds net of taxation; and                                         
-  Increasing the weighted average number of shares by 53,7 million in          
respect of the equity conversion option under the exchangeable bonds and by     
14 million in respect of the dilutory impact of employee share options.         
The equity conversion option under the exchangeable bonds did not have a        
dilutory effect on basic earnings per share.                                    
5  associates                                                                   
The directors` valuation of associates is R544 million (2001: R302 million)     
6  capital expenditure and commitments                                          
Depreciation for the year                    122       71                       
Capital expenditure for the year             140       77                       
Operating lease commitments                                                     
  Due within one year                        139       92                       
Thereafter                                 939       901                      
                                             1 078     993                      
Guarantees and suretyships                   1         6                        
Dividend and capital distribution notice                                        
Notice is hereby given that at a meeting on 31 May 2002, the directors          
recommended a dividend and capital distribution (by way of a reduction of       
the share premium account) totaling 61 cents per share ("the distribution")     
in respect of the year ended 31 March 2002. The terms and conditions of the     
capital portion of the distribution are subject to approval by the holder of    
the exchangeable bonds issued by Alexander Forbes UK Plc on 15 September        
2000, as well as specific approval by shareholders at the forthcoming annual    
general meeting. Subject to these approvals, the distribution will be           
payable to ordinary shareholders recorded in the register as such on 23         
August 2002.                                                                    
In compliance with the requirements of STRATE, the following dates are          
applicable:                                                                     
Last day to trade cum the distribution            Friday, 16 August 2002        
Date trading commences ex the distribution        Monday, 19 August 2002        
Record date                                       Friday, 23 August 2002        
Date of payment                                   Monday, 26 August 2002        
Shares may not be dematerialised or rematerialised between Monday, 12 August    
2002 and Friday, 23 August 2002.                                                
directors: PL Heinamann+ (Chairman)  GW Kerrigan* (Group chief executive)       
RI Gordon (Deputy group chief executive)                                        
J Percy-Davis* (Deputy group chief executive)  TRT Bohlmann+  QJ Heaney*        
MG Ilsley  GGH Todd+  PJJ van der Walt+                                         
*  British    + Non-executive                                                   
Alexander Forbes Limited registration number 1958/001974/06                     
registered office: Alexander Forbes Place  61 Katherine Street  Sandown 2196    
PO Box 787240  Sandton 2146                                                     
Telephone +27 (0)11 269 0000    Fax +27 (0)11 269 1111    E-mail                
info@aforbes.co.za    www.alexanderforbes.com    www.alexfbs.co.za              
company secretary: RA Venter                                                    
transfer secretaries: Computershare Investor Services Limited  11 Diagonal      
Street  Johannesburg 2001  South Africa                                         
sponsor: Investec Securities Limited  100 Grayston Drive  Sandown 2196          
Sandton  South Africa                                                           
reporting accountants and auditors: PricewaterhouseCoopers Inc  Chartered       
Accountants (SA)                                                                
2 Eglin Road  Sunninghill 2157  South Africa                                    
share code: AFB    share ISIN: ZAE 000018230                                    
www.alexanderforbes.com                                                         
Date: 03/06/2002 08:00:00 AM Produced by the SENS Department                    



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