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Thu 17 Oct 2024, 7:30 BHP GROUP LIMITED - Quarterly Activities Report
Quarterly Activities Report


BHP Group Limited 
BHP Group Limited ABN 49 004 028 077 
Registered in Australia 
Registered Office: Level 18, 171 Collins Street Melbourne VIC 3000 
Share code: BHG 
ISIN: AU000000BHP4 

                                                       17 October 2024

Operational review for the quarter ended 30 September 2024

Strong operational performance with increased copper, iron ore and coal
production.

"BHP had a strong start to the 2025 financial year, with production up across
all major commodities for the quarter. Copper production was up 4% due to
higher grade and recoveries at Escondida, and WAIO production was up 3% as we
unlocked capacity by completing the debottlenecking work at the port. 

We are also seeing signs of stabilisation in our steelmaking coal business with
production up 20% in the quarter, excluding the recently divested Blackwater
and Daunia mines.

We added to our copper growth prospects in the quarter, announcing a proposed
50/50 joint venture in Argentina with Lundin Mining to advance what we consider
to be one of the most significant global copper discoveries in decades.

In Canada, our Jansen Stage 1 potash project is 58% complete after a productive
summer period with first production scheduled in around two years.

China has announced a series of monetary easing policies in an effort to
support economic growth, and has indicated more significant fiscal stimulus is
on the horizon. Upcoming stimulus is likely to focus on relieving local debt,
stabilising the property market and bolstering business confidence."

                                                                     Mike Henry
                                                    BHP Chief Executive Officer

Summary
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Operational excellence                                              Social value
                                                                  
On track to meet FY25 production guidance                           Climate Transition Action Plan
                                                                  
Strong operational performance with copper production increasing    We released our second Climate Transition Action Plan (CTAP)
4% driven by higher concentrator feed grades and recoveries at      which lays out our climate strategy and GHG emissions goals and
Escondida. Production at WAIO increased 2% following                targets, and provides an in depth view of our plans and how
commissioning of the Port Debottlenecking Project (PDP1) and        we're progressing against them. The CTAP will be put to a
completion of the South Flank ramp up.                              shareholder advisory vote at our upcoming AGM on 30 October
                                                                    2024. We also announced collaborations with India's JSW Steel
                                                                    and Carbon Clean and Steel Authority of India to support
                                                                    decarbonisation technology in steelmaking.
                                                                  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Portfolio                                                           Outlook
                                                                  
Increased exposure to copper                                        Copper outlook supports growth pipeline
                                                                  
In July, we agreed to jointly acquire Filo Corp. with Lundin        We published our outlook for the copper market, including copper
Mining through a Canadian plan of arrangement. In September, the    demand, copper supply and long-term copper pricing. We expect
Filo Corp shareholders approved the plan of arrangement. We also    copper demand to grow by 70% by 2050, as a result of traditional
agreed to form a 50/50 joint venture with Lundin Mining to          economic growth, electrification and the energy transition, and
consolidate and advance the Filo del Sol and Josemaria copper       digital infrastructure (including data centres). We will be
projects. We expect the transaction to complete in Q3 FY25,         hosting an investor site visit to our Chilean copper assets in
subject to regulatory approvals.                                    November 2024 to outline our attractive organic copper growth
                                                                    pipeline in the region.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                Quarter performance               Production guidance
                                             -----------------------------     -------------------------
                                                                               Current FY25
Production                                   Q1 FY25 v Q4 FY24  v Q1 FY24        guidance
------------------------------------------   ------- --------- -----------     -------------
Copper (kt)...............................    476.3      (6%)       4%         1,845 - 2,045
   Escondida (kt).........................    304.2      (2%)      11%         1,180 - 1,300   Unchanged
   Pampa Norte (kt)/i/....................     60.1      (9%)     (23%)/i/     240 - 270/i/    Unchanged
   Copper South Australia (kt)............     73.4     (18%)       2%            310 - 340    Unchanged
   Antamina (kt)..........................     36.3      (5%)      12%            115 - 135    Unchanged
   Carajas (kt)...........................      2.3       10%      10%                   --           --
Iron ore (Mt).............................     64.6      (7%)       2%          255 - 265.5   
   WAIO (Mt)..............................     63.4      (7%)       2%            250 - 260    Unchanged
   WAIO (100% basis) (Mt).................     71.6      (7%)       3%            282 - 294    Unchanged
   Samarco (Mt)...........................      1.3      23%        4%              5 - 5.5    Unchanged
Steelmaking coal - BMA (Mt)...............      4.5      (8%)     (19%)/ii/       16.5 - 19   
   BMA (100% basis) (Mt)..................      9.0      (8%)     (19%)/ii/         33 - 38    Unchanged
Energy coal - NSWEC (Mt)..................      3.7      (2%)       2%              13 - 15    Unchanged
Nickel - Western Australia Nickel (kt)....     19.6     (15%)      (3%)                  --           --
                                                                            
i  Q1 FY24 includes 9.5 kt from Cerro Colorado which entered care and
   maintenance in December 2023. Excluding these volumes, Q1 FY25 production
   decreased 13%. Production guidance for FY25 is for Spence only. Refer to
   production and sales report and copper for further information.
ii Q1 FY24 production includes 1.8 Mt (3.7 Mt on a 100% basis) from Blackwater
   and Daunia mines which were divested on 2 April 2024. Excluding these
   volumes, Q1 FY25 production increased 20%. Refer to production and sales
   report and steelmaking coal for further information.

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[GRAPHIC]  Further information in Appendix 1
           Detailed production and sales information for all operations in Appendix 2
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--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                   BHP | Operational review for the year ended 30 September 2024


Segment and asset performance | FY25 YTD v FY24 YTD

Copper

Production                  Total copper production increased 4% to 476 kt. Copper production guidance for FY25 remains
                            unchanged at between 1,845 and 2,045 kt.
476 kt Up 4%
                            Escondida 304 kt Up 11% (100% basis)
Q1 FY24 457 kt
                            Increased production primarily due to a higher concentrator feed grade of 1.00% (Q1 FY24: 0.85%)
FY25e 1,845 - 2,045 kt      and higher recoveries as mining progressed into areas of higher-grade ore as planned. This was
                            partially offset by planned lower cathode production, as the integration of the FullSaL project
                            continued. The project remains on track for first production later in FY25. 

Average realised price      A new collective agreement with Union N(degrees)1 of Operators and Maintainers was signed and
                            became effective for 36 months from 2 August 2024. The associated industrial action did not have
US$4.24/lb Up 17%           a material impact on production during the quarter as a result of mitigating actions taken by
                            management, including mine resequencing and prioritisation of ore movement.
Q1 FY24 US$3.63/lb                                     
                            During Q1 FY25, one access ramp into the PL1 high grade mining area was impacted by geotechnical
                            instability. We utilised alternative access ramps and completed stabilisation works, and as a
                            result no material production impacts are expected.

                            Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 1,180 and 1,300 kt, weighted to the
                            second half. Concentrator feed grade for FY25 is expected to remain above 0.90%.

                            Pampa Norte 60 kt Down 23%

                            Spence production decreased 13% as expected, as a result of lower cathode production in line with
                            an expected decline in stacked feed grade and planned quarterly maintenance at the concentrator.
                            Concentrator feed grade and recoveries are in line with prior periods.

                            Production guidance for Spence remains unchanged at between 240 and 270 kt for FY25.

                            Cerro Colorado remains in temporary care and maintenance (having contributed 9.5 kt in Q1 FY24).

                            Copper South Australia 73 kt Up 2%

                            Higher production primarily driven by strong underlying operational performance, particularly at
                            Carrapateena following the commissioning of Crusher 2 in Q3 FY24 which has enabled higher
                            productivity from the sub-level cave and resulted in an increase in ore mined and milled. We also
                            completed planned major maintenance at Olympic Dam on the hoist and underground materials
                            handling system, and annual planned maintenance at the refinery. Production was lower at
                            Prominent Hill due to minor pit geotechnical instability and ventilation constraints which
                            impacted trucking capacity and ore mined, both of which have since been rectified.

                            Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 310 and 340 kt, weighted to the second
                            half.

                            Other copper

                            At Antamina, copper production increased 12% to 36 kt as a result of higher ore grade and
                            recoveries, partially offset by planned lower concentrator throughput. Zinc production was 46%
                            lower at 19 kt, as a result of planned lower feed grades. FY25 copper production guidance of
                            between 115 and 135 kt and zinc production guidance of between 90 and 110 kt remain unchanged.

                            Carajas produced 2.3 kt of copper and 1.7 troy koz of gold.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                         2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                   BHP | Operational review for the year ended 30 September 2024



Iron ore

Production                  Iron ore production increased 2% to 65 Mt. Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at
                            between 255 and 265.5 Mt.
65 Mt Up 2%
                            WAIO 63.4 Mt Up 2% | 71.6 Mt (100% basis)
Q1 FY24 63 Mt
                            Production increased as a result of strong supply chain performance with increased capacity
FY25e 255 - 265.5 Mt        unlocked by PDP1. Higher volumes were delivered from the Central Pilbara hub (South Flank and
                            Mining Area C) following the completion of South Flank ramp up in FY24. We continue to progress
                            the multi-year Rail Technology Program (RTP1), with tie-in activity increasing in FY25.
Average realised price      
                            Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 250 and 260 Mt (282 and 294 Mt on a  
US$80.10/wmt Down 18%       100% basis).
                            
Q1 FY24 US$98.04/wmt        Samarco 1.3 Mt Up 4% | 2.6 Mt (100% basis)]   
                            
                            Production increased due to early resumption of Pelletizing Plant No. 4 enabling improved
                            performance. Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 5 and 5.5 Mt. The second
                            concentrator at Samarco is expected to come online during Q3 FY25, which will increase production
                            capacity to ~16 Mtpa of pellets (100% basis) once fully ramped up, which is expected to be by the
                            end of FY26.

                            BHP Brasil, Samarco and Vale have been engaging in negotiations with the Brazilian State and
                            Federal Governments and other public entities to seek a settlement of obligations under the
                            Framework Agreement, the Federal Public Prosecution Office Claim, and other claims by government
                            entities relating to the Samarco dam failure. Those negotiations are ongoing.

                            BHP Group Limited and BHP Group (UK) Limited are defendants to a group action claim in the
                            English High Court, brought by over 600,000 claimants seeking damages in relation to the Fundao
                            Dam failure in 2015. The liability hearing for the group action will begin on 21 October 2024.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Coal

Steelmaking coal

Production                  BMA 4.5 Mt Down 19% | 9 Mt (100% basis)

4.5 Mt Down 19%             Production increased 20% (excluding 1.8 Mt from Blackwater and Daunia in Q1 FY24), due to
                            increased stripping enabled by improved truck productivity as well as Q1 FY24 being impacted by
Q1 FY24 5.6 Mt              the extended longwall move at Broadmeadow. We maintain our focus on restoring value chain
                            stability, with an increase in raw coal inventory, which will continue into CY26.
FY25e 16.5 - 19 Mt
                            During the quarter we completed planned maintenance at Goonyella Riverside and Hay Point Coal
                            Terminal, and commenced a longwall move at Broadmeadow.
Average realised price      

US$214.86/t Down 9%         Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 16.5 and 19 Mt (33 and 38 Mt on a 100%
                            basis).
Q1 FY24 US$237.07/t
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                         3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                   BHP | Operational review for the year ended 30 September 2024

Energy coal

Production                  NSWEC 3.7 Mt Up 2%

3.7 Mt Up 2%                Production increased 2%, including a higher proportion of washed coal in line with our strategy
                            of prioritising higher quality coals. This was enabled by a drawdown of inventory to offset the
Q1 FY24 3.6 Mt              impacts of reduced truck availability and unfavourable weather conditions.

FY25e 13 - 15 Mt            Production guidance for FY25 remains unchanged at between 13 and 15 Mt.

                            The modification to extend mining consent to 30 June 2030 is currently being assessed by the NSW
Average realised price      Government with an outcome anticipated in Q3 FY25.
                            
US$124.32/t Down 1%

Q1 FY24 US$125.66/t
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Group & Unallocated

Nickel

Production                  Western Australia Nickel 19.6 kt Down 3%

19.6 kt Down 3%             Production decreased as we commenced the temporary suspension of operations at Nickel West.
                            Operations will be suspended from October 2024 and handover activities will be completed by
Q1 FY24 20.2 kt             December 2024. We continue to support the workforce through this transition period and have made
                            redeployment offers to a large portion of our frontline employees.

Average realised price      We expect costs to remain elevated during the transition to suspension in the first half and we
                            plan to invest ~US$300 m per annum beginning in January 2025 to preserve optionality for a
US$16,359/t Down 20%        potential restart.
                            
Q1 FY24 US$20,354/t         No production guidance has been provided for FY25. 
                          
Quarterly performance | Q1 FY25 v Q4 FY24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Copper                                                             Iron ore
                  
476 kt Down 6%      Lower production due to planned maintenance,   65 Mt Down 7%       Lower production at WAIO as a result of
                    in particular across Copper SA, lower                              planned equipment maintenance and increased RTP1 tie-in
Q4 FY24 505 kt      concentrator throughput and production across  Q4 FY24 69 Mt       activity.
                    leaching at Escondida due to mine sequencing,                    
                    and planned lower grades at Spence.                              
                                                                                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                     
Steelmaking coal                                                   Energy coal       
                                                                                     
4.5 Mt Down 8%      Lower production as a result of the ramp down  3.7 Mt Down 2%      Slightly lower production due to operational
                    and commencement of the longwall move at                           challenges from truck availability and wet
Q4 FY24 4.9 Mt      Broadmeadow in Q1 FY25, and higher yield and   Q4 FY24 3.8 Mt      weather, partially offset by a drawdown of
                    lower strip ratio in the prior quarter as a                        inventory.
                    result of mine sequencing.                                       
                                                                                     
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                     
Nickel                                                                               
                                                                                     
19.6 kt Down 15%    Lower production as transition of operations                     
                    to temporary suspension commenced.                               
Q4 FY24 23.0 kt                                                                      
                                                                                      
                                         4                                            
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                   BHP | Operational review for the year ended 30 September 2024



Appendix 1

Average realised prices/i/

                                                                  Quarter
                                                        -------------------------
                                                        Q1 FY25 v Q4 FY24 v Q1 FY24
                                                        ------- --------- ---------
Copper (US$/lb)/ii/....................................   4.24      (7%)      17%
Iron ore (US$/wmt, FOB)................................  80.10     (12%)     (18%)
Steelmaking coal (US$/t)/iii/.......................... 214.86     (12%)      (9%)
Thermal coal (US$/t)/iv/............................... 124.32       1%       (1%)
Nickel metal (US$/t)/v/................................ 16,359     (11%)     (20%)

i    Based on provisional, unaudited estimates. Prices exclude sales from equity
     accounted investments, third party product and internal sales, and represent
     the weighted average of various sales terms (for example: FOB, CIF and CFR),
     unless otherwise noted. Includes the impact of provisional pricing and
     finalisation adjustments.
ii   Sales from Carrapateena and Prominent Hill acquired through the purchase of
     OZL are included from Q4 FY24.
iii  From FY25, steelmaking coal refers to hard coking coal which is generally
     those steelmaking coals with a Coke Strength after Reaction (CSR) of 35 and
     above, and includes coals across the spectrum from Premium Coking to Semi
     Hard Coking coals. Comparative periods include impacts from weak coking
     coal, which refers generally to those steelmaking coals with a CSR below 35,
     which were sold by Blackwater and Daunia mines, divested on 2 April 2024.
iv   Export sales only. Includes thermal coal sales from steelmaking coal mines.
v    Relates to refined nickel metal only, excludes intermediate products and
     nickel sulphate.

Current year unit cost guidance

                                                            Current
Unit cost                                               FY25 guidance/i/
------------------------------------------------------  ---------------
Escondida (US$/lb).....................................     1.30 - 1.60      Unchanged
Spence (US$/lb)........................................    2.00 - 2.30       Unchanged
Copper South Australia (US$/lb)........................ 1.30 - 1.80/ii/      Unchanged
WAIO (US$/t)...........................................   18.00 - 19.50      Unchanged
BMA (US$/t)............................................      112 - 124       Unchanged
                                                                       
i  FY25 unit cost guidance is based on exchange rates of AUD/USD 0.66 and
   USD/CLP 842.
ii Calculated using the following assumptions for by-products: gold
   US$2,000/oz, and uranium US$80/lb

Medium term guidance/i/

                                                           Production         Unit cost
                                                            guidance         guidance/ii/
                                                        ----------------  ------------------
Escondida/iii/......................................... 900 - 1,000 ktpa  US$ 1.50 - 1.80/lb
Spence.................................................        ~250 ktpa  US$2.05 - 2.35/lb
WAIO (100% basis) .......................................      >305 Mtpa  

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