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Mon 10 Nov 2003, 11:01 Alex Forbes result the six months ended 30 Sep 03
Alexander Forbes Limited - Unaudited Results For The Six Months Ended 30 
Release Date: 10/11/2003 07:00:06      Code(s): AFB 
Alexander Forbes Limited - Unaudited results for the six months ended 30        
September 2003                                                                  
Alexander Forbes Limited                                                        
Registration number 1958/001974/06                                              
Share code AFB   ISIN  ZAE000018230                                             
Unaudited results for the six months ended 30 September 2003                    
* Revenue of R2,2 billion                                                       
* Trading profit of R508 million                                                
* Results affected by significant Rand strength                                 
* Core EPS of 80,4 cents (-17%)                                                 
Review of operations                                                            
Overview                                                                        
Trading profit in base currency of our Africa and International operations      
showed a 7% increase and 2% decrease respectively. After taking account of the  
25% decrease in the average R:GBP exchange rate used for conversion of our      
International earnings and a reduced contribution from associates, core earnings
per share decreased by 17% to 80,4 cents. All core businesses remain profitable 
and continue to produce strong cash flows.                                      
Regional review                                                                 
Africa (principally South Africa)                                               
The trading profit of the African operations increased by 7% to R304 million:   
-  Risk Services                                                                
The Risk Services and Personal Services businesses have delivered a strong      
combined performance with trading profit growing by 23% to R138 million. This   
results from revenue gains and good profit growth in the Broking business and   
strong profit growth in the Personal Services business resulting from continued 
efficiency gains. New initiatives include the successful launch of a Reinsurance
Solutions business.                                                             
-  Financial Services                                                           
The Financial Services business recorded a 7% decrease in trading profit to R87 
million. The core actuarial consulting and administration businesses produced   
good growth. Results were, however, affected by the impact of difficult market  
conditions on the individual financial planning business (particularly currency 
conditions), reduced profit share in Alexander Forbes Life and the effects of   
restructuring of the asset consulting business. In addition, there have been    
some cost pressures arising from developing capacity and improving our          
empowerment positioning.                                                        
-  Investment Solutions                                                         
Investment Solutions recorded a 1% growth in trading profit to R79 million. The 
business continues to achieve strong net new business flows, with assets under  
management increasing to R54 billion (including off-balance sheet assets of R3  
billion). Revenue and profit were, however, impacted by the strength of the     
Rand, a reduction in initial fees and lower margins on large fund clients and   
assets from Stanlib Multi-Manager.                                              
International (principally United Kingdom)                                      
Trading profit of the International operations decreased by 2% to GBP17,2       
million when measured in base currency. The trading profit in Rands has been    
significantly impacted by the strengthening of the Rand with a 25% deterioration
in the weighted average Rand/Sterling conversion rate:                          
-  International Risk Services                                                  
The UK Risk Services businesses produced varied results with trading profit     
increasing by 5% to GBP10,4 million. The Professional Indemnity business        
continues to benefit from new business flows and the hard insurance market      
conditions. The Wholesale Broking business experienced varying results across   
divisions as a result of some team movements and the impact of the weaker Dollar
on US$-denominated brokerage. The Corporate Broking business recorded good      
growth, having benefited from positive actions taken in the previous year.      
Asia and Latin America remain small contributors to total profits but are a     
source of referral business for our London brokerage operations and represent an
important part of our international network.                                    
-  UK Financial Services                                                        
Lane Clark & Peacock (LCP) produced a solid performance contributing GBP1,8     
million to trading profit (compared to GBP0,9 million for the four months to 30 
September 2002).                                                                
The Independent Financial Advisory (IFA) business contributed GBP0,7 million to 
trading profit and has improved prospects for the second half of the year.      
-  UK Investment Solutions                                                      
The Investment Solutions business incurred a start-up trading loss of GBP0,6    
million as a result of delays in obtaining regulatory approvals. All approvals  
are now in place and portfolios are being actively marketed to clients. The     
defined contribution administration business continues to attract new clients.  
-  Direct Marketing                                                             
Direct Marketing trading profits reduced as anticipated. The business continues 
to actively market a variety of products, but currently on a smaller scale.     
Financing                                                                       
Net finance costs increased by R54 million as a result of the funding of        
acquisitions concluded during the previous financial year and lower interest    
earnings on cash balances held in the UK. Trading profit, net of finance costs, 
decreased by 21% to R416 million.                                               
Prior to 31 March 2000, all goodwill balances were written off directly against 
share capital and reserves. As shown in the balance sheet, ordinary shareholders
funds total R2 823 million before write-off and amortisation of this goodwill.  
Interest bearing debt net of free cash available to the group totals R1 803     
million, yielding a debt to equity ratio of 64%. This gearing level is within   
acceptable limits given the 6 times interest cover position, the cash generative
nature of the group"s businesses, the diverse client base and the high          
proportion of income which is annually renewable or annuity in nature.          
The group is currently investigating restructuring offshore debt maturing in the
2005 and 2006 financial years.                                                  
Associates                                                                      
The pre-tax profit contribution from associates decreased from R21 million to R3
million as a result of the disposal of the group"s shareholding in Thebe Risk & 
Benefits in March 2003 and small trading losses incurred by National Britannia  
and Medscheme. Management changes have been implemented at Medscheme and the    
business continues to be restructured to improve performance.                   
Taxation                                                                        
The effective tax rate on headline earnings has improved slightly from 30,4% to 
28,8%. This results from favourable developments relating to prior year tax     
assessments.                                                                    
Earnings per share                                                              
Core earnings per share decreased by 17% to 80,4 cents per share (see note 3).  
More than half of this decrease relates to the impact of the appreciation of the
Rand against the Sterling and the reduced profit contribution from associates.  
Notwithstanding the decrease in core earnings per share, all core businesses    
remain profitable and continue to produce strong cash flows.                    
Developments and prospects                                                      
The South African business has received a "BB" empowerment rating from          
independent rating agency, Empowerdex. Transformation is progressing well       
including board restructuring as well as certain imminent senior BEE            
appointments which should enhance this rating and the group"s empowerment       
positioning.                                                                    
Based on current currency levels, the impact of the Rand strength will have a   
less significant impact on the results for the second half. In addition we      
expect an improved result from the UK Risk Services business in the second half.
As a result of these factors, earnings for the year ending 31 March 2004 are    
expected to be broadly in line with the previous financial year.                
For and on behalf of the board                                                  
GW Kerrigan    RI Gordon                                                        
Chairman       Group chief executive                                            
7 November 2003                                                                 
Income statement                                                                
                         Six months              Six months          Year       
                              ended                   ended         ended       
30 Sept                 30 Sept      31 March       
                               2003                    2002          2003       
                                 Rm          %           Rm            Rm       
Revenue from operations       2 202       (10%)        2 436        4 880       
Other revenue                    14                        2           13       
Total revenue                 2 216        (9%)        2 438        4 893       
Operating expenses           (1 761)                  (1 935)      (3 943)      
Operating profit                455       (10%)          503          950       
Operational interest income      53                       59          104       
Trading profit                  508       (10%)          562        1 054       
Net finance costs (note 2)      (92)                     (38)        (115)      
Profit before associates        416       (21%)          524          939       
Associates profits                3                       21           29       
Profit before non-trading                                                       
items                           419       (23%)          545          968       
Headline adjusting items        (74)                     (52)        (144)      
Unrealised currency                                                             
(loss)/gain                     (27)                       8         (115)      
Profit before taxation          318       (37%)          501          709       
Taxation                       (113)                    (168)        (221)      
Profit after taxation           205       (38%)          333          488       
Minority interests              (20)                     (42)         (75)      
Attributable profit             185       (36%)          291          413       
-                                                                               
Earnings per share (cents)     53,5       (36%)         83,9        119,4       
Headline earnings per share                                                     
(cents)                        74,9       (24%)         98,8        161,0       
Core earnings per share                                                         
(cents)                        80,4       (17%)         97,1        174,0       
Diluted earnings per share                                                      
(cents) (note 4)               53,0       (34%)         79,9        117,0       
Number of shares (millions)                                                     
-  issued                      346                      348          346       
 -  weighted average            346                      347          346       
Reconciliation to attributable core earnings                                    
Attributable profit per                                                         
income statement                185       (36%)          291          413       
Add: Headline adjusting items                                                   
 - Goodwill amortisation         77                       55          155       
 - Other                         (3)                      (3)         (11)      
Headline earnings               259       (24%)          343          557       
Add: Unrealised currency                                                        
loss/(gain) on loan              27                       (8)         115       
 - Taxation thereon              (8)                       2          (33)      
- Permanent taxation relief      -                        -          (37)      
Core earnings                   278       (17%)          337          602       
Segmental analysis                                                              
                      Six months    Six months   Six months    Six months       
ended         ended        ended         ended       
                         30 Sept       30 Sept      30 Sept       30 Sept       
                            2003     %    2002         2003     %    2002       
                                 Revenue                 Trading Profit         
International (GBPm)                                                            
Financial Services          26,2   22%    21,5          2,5   56%     1,6       
 IFA                        11,7  (13%)   13,5          0,7    -      0,7       
 Lane Clark & Peacock       14,5   81%     8,0          1,8  100%     0,9       
Direct Marketing             5,9  (58%)   13,9          4,2  (11%)    4,7       
Investment Solutions         1,8     -       -         (0,6)   -        -       
Risk Services               61,6    6%    58,3         11,1   (1%)   11,2       
 UK & Europe                53,3   11%    48,2         10,4    5%     9,9       
Asia                        3,2   (9%)    3,5          0,7  (36%)    1,1       
 Latin America               5,1  (23%)    6,6            -     -     0,2       
Total International (GBPm)    95,5    2%    93,7         17,2   (2%)   17,5     
Total International (Rm)   1 165  (21%)  1 481          204  (27%)    278       
Africa (Rm)                                                                     
Financial Services           415   11%     374           87   (7%)     94       
Investment Solutions         237    6%     224           79    1%      78       
Risk Services                385    8%     357          138   23%     112       
Total Africa (Rm)          1 037    9%     955          304    7%     284       
Total Group (Rm)           2 202  (10%)   2 436         508  (10%)    562       
Net finance costs                                                               
 Africa                                                (19) (186%)     22       
International                                         (73)  (22%)    (60)      
Share of profits of associates                                                  
 Africa                                                  1   (92%)     13       
 International                                           2   (75%)      8       
Profit before non-trading items                        419   (23%)    545       
Cash flow statement                                                             
                                     Six months    Six months        Year       
                                          ended         ended       ended       
30 Sept       30 Sept    31 March       
                                           2003          2002        2003       
                                             Rm            Rm          Rm       
Cash from operating activities                                                  
Cash flows from operations                  467           343       1 271       
Taxation, dividends and                                                         
capital distribution                       (329)         (395)       (602)      
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from                                                  
operating activities                        138           (52)        669       
Cash flows from fiduciary activities                                            
Movements in insurance balances             285           416        (472)      
Refund of vendor loan note                                                      
deposits                                    (42)         (298)       (554)      
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from                                                  
fiduciary activities                        243           118      (1 026)      
Cash invested                                                                   
Net subsidiaries and associates             (19)         (244)     (1 352)      
Net movement in investments and                                                 
loans receivable                             15          (121)        (81)      
Net fixed assets acquired                  (127)          (60)       (134)      
Net cash outflow from investing                                                 
activities                                 (131)         (425)     (1 567)      
Cash from financing                                                             
Net proceeds of shares issued                10            12          18       
Share buy-back                              (17)            -         (70)      
Net movement in interest bearing                                                
liabilities                                 (67)          273         869       
Cash settlement of retirement                                                   
obligations                                 (13)            -         (46)      
Dividends paid to outside                                                       
shareholders                                (37)          (23)        (23)      
Net cash (outflow)/inflow from                                                  
financing activities                       (124)          262         748       
Net movement in cash and cash                                                   
equivalents                                 126           (97)     (1 176)      
Cash and cash equivalents at                                                    
beginning of period                       2 365         3 834       3 834       
Cash balances of subsidiaries                                                   
acquired                                      -            40         311       
Foreign subsidiaries translation                                                
adjustment                                 (121)           15        (604)      
Cash and cash equivalents at end                                                
of period                                 2 370         3 792       2 365       
Balance sheet                                                                   
Six months    Six months        Year       
                                          ended         ended       ended       
                                        30 Sept       30 Sept    31 March       
                                           2003          2002        2003       
Rm            Rm          Rm       
Ordinary shareholders" funds before                                             
goodwill effects                                                                
 - Africa                                 1 841         1 786       1 929       
- International                            982           754         868       
 Ordinary shareholders" funds before                                            
 goodwill effects                         2 823         2 540       2 797       
 Goodwill written off and amortised      (1 916)       (1 732)     (1 832)      
907           808         965       
Outside shareholders" funds                  95           228         120       
Total shareholders" funds                 1 002         1 036       1 085       
Linked liabilities of policyholders                                             
and cell owners                          51 443        42 374      46 302       
Long-term liabilities                                                           
 - Interest bearing                       2 365         2 532       2 496       
 - Non-interest bearing                       6             4           7       
Provisions for post-retirement benefits     178           236         187       
Deferred tax                                (32)            4         (42)      
Capital employed                         54 962        46 186      50 035       
Linked assets of policyholders and                                              
cell owners                              51 443        42 374      46 302       
Fixed assets                                303           255         241       
Goodwill                                  1 854         1 718       1 931       
Associates (note 5)                         107           258         135       
Investments and loans receivable                                                
 - Interest bearing                         643           632         674       
 - Non-interest bearing                      11            15          41       
Current assets                                                                  
- Cash and cash equivalents              2 370         3 792       2 365       
 - Other interest bearing receivables       240           244         179       
 - Non-interest bearing receivables         577           917         605       
                                          3 187         4 953       3 149       
Current liabilities                                                             
 - Interest bearing liabilities             166           406         216       
 - Non-interest bearing liabilities       2 420         3 613       2 222       
                                          2 586         4 019       2 438       
Net current assets                          601           934         711       
Employment of capital                    54 962        46 186      50 035       
Statement of changes in equity                                                  
                                      Share     Share                           
capital   premium  Reserves     Total       
                                         Rm        Rm        Rm        Rm       
At 31 March 2002                          3       110       658       771       
Share issues                              -        12         -        12       
Foreign subsidiaries translation                                                
adjustment                                -         -       (54)      (54)      
Attributable profit                       -         -       291       291       
Dividends and capital distribution        -      (108)     (104)     (212)      
At 30 September 2002                      3        14       791       808       
Share issues                              -        48         -        48       
Share buy-back                            -         -       (70)      (70)      
Foreign subsidiaries translation                                                
adjustment and other adjustments          -         -        57        57       
Attributable profit                       -         -       122       122       
At 31 March 2003                          3        62       900       965       
Adjustment to opening reserves due to                                           
adoption of AC133 (note 1)                -         -        (1)       (1)      
Share issues                              -        10         -        10       
Share buy-back                            -         -       (17)      (17)      
Foreign subsidiaries translation                                                
adjustment and other adjustments          -         -         1         1       
Attributable profit                       -         -       185       185       
Dividends and capital distribution        -       (53)     (183)     (236)      
At 30 September 2003                      3        19       885       907       
Notes                                                                           
1 Basis of accounting                                                           
The financial information has been prepared on the historical cost basis in     
accordance with South African Statements of Generally Accepted Accounting       
Practice. The accounting policies used in preparing the financial information   
are consistent with those of the previous year except for the adoption of AC133 
on Financial Instruments.                                                       
In terms of this statement the opening balances of financial instruments brought
forward from the previous year have been restated resulting in a decrease of    
R1,1 million to the group"s opening accumulated reserves(see statement of       
changes). In addition, unfunded insurer debtor balances have been offset against
related insurer creditor balances at the current and previous period ends. The  
net effect of AC133 on the results of the period under review is not material.  
The income statements and balance sheets of the foreign subsidiaries have been  
translated to Rands at the following R:GBP exchange rates:                      
                                 Six months       Six months         Year       
ended            ended        ended       
                                    30 Sept          30 Sept     31 March       
                                       2003             2002         2003       
                                         Rm      %        Rm           Rm       
Weighted average rate (R:GBP)            11.9   (25%)     15.8         14.7     
Closing rate (R:GBP)                     11.7   (29%)     16.4         12.5     
2 Net finance costs                                                             
Interest and dividends received                                                 
Collateral deposits -                                                         
  vendor loan notes                       -               10           14       
  Loan swap deposit                      18               18           36       
  Other deposits                         36               43            -       
54               71           50       
Interest paid                                                                   
  Vendor loan notes                       -               (9)         (13)      
  Loan swap liability                   (18)             (18)         (36)      
Exchangeable bonds                    (58)             (75)        (139)      
  Other bank borrowings                 (70)              (7)          23       
                                        (92)             (38)        (115)      
3 Earnings per share                                                            
The group has consistently presented three measures of earnings per share for a 
number of years, namely:                                                        
- Basic earnings per share, which is required to be disclosed in accordance with
Statements of Generally Accepted Accounting Practice in South Africa;           
- Headline earnings per share, which is required to be disclosed by the JSE     
Securities Exchange South Africa and is the earnings measure published by them. 
Headline earnings are designed to provide an objective measure for comparing the
performance of different companies and excludes goodwill amortisation and other 
gains or losses of a capital nature;                                            
- Core earnings per share, which represents headline earnings adjusted only for 
the unrealised currency gain/loss and related taxation effects arising from a   
Rand denominated loan raised in the UK in 1998 to refinance Sterling borrowings.
The unrealised gain/loss is clearly of a non-trading nature and is excluded from
core earnings in order to provide a better measure for the year-on-year         
assessment of the trading performance of the group.                             
4 Diluted earnings per share                                                    
Diluted earnings per share is determined by increasing the weighted average     
number of shares by 3 million in respect of the dilutory impact of "in-the-     
money" share options. The equity conversion option under the exchangeable bonds 
did not have a dilutory effect on any of the measures of earnings per share for 
the current period.                                                             
5  Associates                                                                   
The directors" valuation of associates is R172 million (31 March 2003: R193     
million).                                                                       
6 Capital expenditure and commitments                                           
                                     Six months    Six months        Year       
                                          ended         ended       ended       
                                        30 Sept       30 Sept    31 March       
2003          2002        2003       
                                             Rm            Rm          Rm       
Depreciation for the period                  54            62         117       
Capital expenditure for the period          127            60         144       
Operating lease commitments                                                     
 - Due within one year                      160           143         190       
 - Thereafter                             1 134           859       1 296       
                                          1 294         1 002       1 486       
Executive directors RI Gordon (Group chief executive)   J Percy-Davis* (Deputy  
group chief executive)   QJ Heaney*   MG Ilsley                                 
Non-executive directors GW Kerrigan* (Chairman)   TRT Bohlmann                  
|PL Heinamann   MC Ramaphosa   JVH Robins*   GGH Todd   PJJ van der Walt        
*British                                                                        
Registered office Alexander Forbes Place  61 Katherine Street                   
Sandown 2196   PO Box 787240  Sandton 2146                                      
Telephone +27 (0)11 269 0000    Fax +27 (0)11 269 1111                          
E-mail info@aforbes.co.za    www.alexanderforbes.com                            
Company secretary JE Abraham                                                    
Transfer secretaries Computershare Limited   70 Marshall Street                 
Johannesburg 2001   South Africa                                                
Sponsor Investec Bank Limited   100 Grayston Drive   Sandown 2196               
Sandton   South Africa                                                          
Independent auditors PricewaterhouseCoopers Inc.   Chartered Accountants (SA)   
 2 Eglin Road   Sunninghill 2157   South Africa                                 
www.alexanderforbes.com                                                         
A copy of the analyst presentation is available on our website                  

                                                                                
                                                                                
                                                                                




 



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