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Mon 16 Oct 2006, 9:25 Alexander Forbes Limited - Trading Statement
AFB
 AFB                                                                             
Alexander Forbes Limited - Trading Statement                                    
Alexander Forbes Limited                                                        
Registration number 1958/001974/06                                              
Share code: AFB                                                                 
ISIN: ZAE000018230                                                              
("Alexander Forbes" or the "Company")                                           
Trading Statement                                                               
This Trading Statement is issued in accordance with section 3.4 (b) of the JSE  
Limited listings requirements.                                                  
Headline earnings per share                                                     
The group"s provisional results for the six months ending 30 September 2006     
reflect trading results from operations which are broadly in line with those    
reported for the comparative period.  There are a number of non-trading items   
and related financial effects however which have impacted the group"s headline  
earnings for the current and prior reporting periods.  These will result in a   
25% to 35% decrease in headline earnings per share reported for the six months  
to 30 September 2006.  The main items are:                                      
Approximately R35 million of professional fees and other costs associated with  
the sale of the group"s International Risk Services" business, which are        
required to be recognised as operational expenditure in the current period"s    
results.  When the sale concludes, these costs, together with additional costs  
which will accrue upon conclusion of the transaction, will be offset against the
net capital proceeds received on the sale of GBP67.5 million and will be        
excluded from headline earnings reported for the full year.  Regulatory         
approvals  are the only remaining conditions precedent to the conclusion of the 
transaction.                                                                    
The R20 million increase in the general provision for potential historical      
exposures advised to shareholders on 20 September 2006 and R17 million of       
interest costs which accrue on the provision for client settlements in the      
current period;                                                                 
A R7 million loss arising in the current period on consolidation of the group"s 
cell captive insurance arrangement compared to a profit of R19 million reported 
in the prior period (the aggregate year-on year impact is thus R26 million);    
The R22 million exceptional profit reported in the prior period resulting from  
the reduction of onerous lease provisions which does not recur in the current   
period;                                                                         
The above negative effects on headline earnings are partly offset by a reduced  
impact on the current period of the previously reported accounting mismatch     
resulting from accounting for Alexander Forbes" shares held by the group"s multi
manager investment subsidiary for its policyholders as treasury shares in the   
group accounts.  The reported loss resulting from this accounting mismatch will 
be R31 million in the current period (in respect of 18 million shares deducted  
from equity) compared to R66 million for the prior period (in respect of 17     
million shares deducted from equity). Details of the restated headline earnings 
per share for the prior interim reporting period are provided in Note 1 below.  
The aggregate year-on-year impact of the above items net of any related tax     
effects is approximately R70 million or 16 cents per share.                     
Basic earnings per share                                                        
There will be a slightly lower decrease in attributable earnings per share      
compared to the decrease in headline earnings per share detailed above as a     
result of the R14 million capital profit realized on the sale of the group"s    
associate investment in Medscheme during the current period.  This profit is    
excluded from headline earnings being of a capital nature.                      
Financial information contained in Trading Statement                            
The financial information contained in this Trading Statement has not been      
reviewed and reported on by the company"s auditors.                             
Full details of the group"s results for the six months ended 30 September 2006  
will be published on or about 13 November 2006.                                 
Note 1 to Trading Statement                                                     
As previously advised, in terms of International Financial Reporting Standards  
(IFRS), Alexander Forbes" shares held by the group"s multi-manager investment   
subsidiary for policyholders are required to be accounted for as treasury shares
and deducted from equity in the group"s accounts.  The retrospective application
of this accounting treatment results in the previously reported headline        
earnings per share for the six months ended 30 September 2005 reducing from 70  
to 57 cents per share calculated as follows:                                    
Attributable headline profit as previously      321                             
reported (Rm)                                                                   
Less: Reported loss arising from accounting                                     
for policyholder investments as treasury                                        
shares:                                         (54)                            
- Loss arising from increase in Alexander       (12)                            
Forbes share price (Rm)                                                         
- Distributions to policyholders on Alexander                                   
Forbes shares (Rm)                                                              
Restated attributable headline profit (Rm)      255                             
Weighted average number of shares as            461                             
previously reported (millions)                                                  
Less: Alexander Forbes shares held as                                           
policyholder investments deducted from equity   (17)                            
under IFRS requirement (millions)                                               
Restated weighted average number of shares in   444                             
issue (millions)                                                                
Restated headline earnings per share (cents)    57                              
Cautionary announcement                                                         
Shareholders are referred to the relevant cautionary announcements, the last of 
which was published on 2 October 2006, in terms of which shareholders were      
advised that the Company was continuing in discussions with a consortium of     
private equity investors ("the Consortium") regarding a potential transaction to
acquire the entire issued share capital of the Company but that the Consortium  
has not yet submitted a binding offer for the Company.                          
Shareholders are advised to continue to exercise caution in dealing in the      
company"s securities until a further announcement is made.                      
Johannesburg, South Africa                                                      
16 October 2006                                                                 
JP Morgan                                                                       
Sponsoring Brokers                                                              
Date: 16/10/2006 09:25:13 AM Produced by the JSE SENS Department                
                                                                                
                                                                                
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